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AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
« Last post by AsymBacGuy on Today at 12:01:48 am »
Now let's put the craps system ideas into baccarat.

That craps system relies upon the distant probability to get four distinct consecutive players in a row to make each 4 or more passes.

Our progressive betting sounds as

$10-20-40-80

$20-40-80-160

$30-60-120-240

$40-80-160-320

Total $1500, that is 150 units.

Whenever we win we restart the $10 betting, whenever we lose we'll go toward the next betting step.

At craps this system is so solid that you'll need a lot of sessions to lose your entire 150 units bankroll. Odds are that in the process you'll be in the positive field in the vast majority of the times.

Say we want to assign at any single baccarat column a kind of new shooter, thus whenever a new column starts it's like this column impersonates a new shooter.
For example a BBBPBBBPPPBBPBPPPB sequence will endorse the action of 8 distinct shooters getting each 2 passes (as the first hand of the shoe is a neutral indicator), zero passes, 2 passes, 2 passes, 1 pass, zero passes, zero passes and 2 passes.

In this "fortunate" example we didn't get forward the first step betting line, thus we'll get all winnings.

Of course any 5+ streak will make us a first-step loser, thus thereafter we need a proper cumulative amount of not 5+-hands to get an overall win.

Now we'll get singles, doubles, triples and 4-streaks to get a winning situation, the only situation we'll lose is whenever a 4+ situation will come out.

In a word, we'll lose our entire bankroll when a shoe will produce four or more 5+ consecutive streaks, a thing that it'll surely happen but by which degree of probability?

Now say we do want to put in action just the players getting two wins in a row. After all doubles are the more likely results at baccarat, aren't they?

Then our new betting patterns are doubles, triples, 4-streaks and 5-streaks. At the price of missing singles opportunities, now we know that the probability to lose our entire bankroll is not existent at all other than from a theorical point of view.
Show me how many times you had crossed shoes producing four or more consecutive 6+ streaks. Answer: zero.

But we can make a further adjustment, that is to classify how many times different classes of winning/losing patterns had acted consecutively along the way.
We can't prevent shoes to produce consecutive 5+-streaks, but this happening is a perfect negation either of the general asymmetrical card distribution and of the whinsical asym strenght favoring B side.

That's now that so called math experts must put their knowledge in their a.sses, even though they can easily opine that no matter what, our bets are getting a money return lower than 1.
Yep, but for their misfortune, when properly assessed the statistical advantage will be higher than what a math edge can do.

Is this mathematical big.hornsh.it?

Probably, but we're eager to get people facing our bets.

as. 
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AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
« Last post by AsymBacGuy on Yesterday at 10:05:49 pm »
Hi KBF!!

I have the absolute certainty that most live casinos don't have a single reason to deal bac shoes favoring them in some way other than knowing their constant math edge (at bj this thing is possible but very unlikely).
I wouldn't be so sure about certain online casinos.

For that matter casinos do not know how to arrange cards to make players to lose, even if they consult the best statistical experts on the planet.
Since most baccarat players like to following trends and knowing that all mechanical systems rely upon the probability that strong deviations must be compensated sooner or later, casinos cannot know how to arrange cards to neglect this or that situation.

More specifically, any simple BP succession could be splitted into infinite derived successions each of them getting different features that cannot be symmetrically placed per every succesion considered.
The coin is biased at the start of any single shoe, unfortunately we can't properly guess per every shoe dealt which side of the coin will be biased.

The fact that B side is math favorite to win itlr doesn't help us too much as it's strongly influenced by the actual card distribution.
The probability to get shoes producing a well below than average amount of asym hands is around any corner, thus any regular B wagering will get tremendous negative situations. After all when we lose we lose 1 and when we win we win 0.95.
Not mentioning how things really work at many other roads.

as.
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Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Millionaire's plan: My dream project
« Last post by Albalaha on Yesterday at 05:22:05 pm »
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Hi Albalaha--I see youre still in the laboratory.
     It is my forte. I am into something everyone shies away to even discuss. A logical and mathematical way to earn from casinos.

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Good thinking--To help with that worry and to "lay low" or "fly under the radar",...etc, you could maybe consider playing under an alias (e.g., Kung Fubac ).

Well, it is not so easy. I need a team to play my way all over. It is tough to find even one reliable person. I m playing myself online these days and haven't seen any losing session so far. Let's see how it goes further.
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Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Millionaire's plan: My dream project
« Last post by KungFuBac on Yesterday at 03:52:28 pm »
Hi Albalaha--I see youre still in the laboratory.

re: your thoughts. "...Shoes doesn't matter buddy. It is only a sequence of wins and losses for me. Say it is coin flipping and if they change coin, should it change any probability? I do not understand why guys like you who has considerable knowledge of math and experience ask such questions..."[/b]
     Because when Im not at live tables (approx 1800 hands per week), Im studying, and constantly striving to learn and improve my game from other players (especially the online players).

"...online, it is 10 to 50k on most tables and 25 to 5k-10k on others. I hate restrained bet limits. Although my current methodology seldom requires bet of more than 15 units. ..."

     Yes , I can only imagine how burdensome that must be to you.


Next News Story: "ALBALAHA COMING TO AMERICA"

"...Maybe some day. I do not want to feature in the black book of casinos. Thanks for the best wishes..."

     Good thinking--To help with that worry and to "lay low" or "fly under the radar",...etc, you could maybe consider playing under an alias (e.g., Kung Fubac ).

"...Thanks for the best wishes.."

You are welcome.

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Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: +50 OR -100?
« Last post by Albalaha on May 10, 2021, 05:38:39 pm »
Session #3:
             47 wins vs 61 losses, Finished with +53, worst DD=-17, max bet=8 units


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Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Millionaire's plan: My dream project
« Last post by Albalaha on May 10, 2021, 03:44:36 pm »
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This is interesting. I would hypothesize u should see this often enough at front end of shoes to make your wait time tolerable.
     Q: Am I correct you allow these triggers to present across two shoes??

Shoes doesn't matter buddy. It is only a sequence of wins and losses for me. Say it is coin flipping and if they change coin, should it change any probability? I do not understand why guys like you who has considerable knowledge of math and experience ask such questions.

Quote
What is bet spread for most of your online casinos? Can u actually see the cut and dealers dispersing cards for each individual hand??
    Online, it is 10 to 50k on most tables and 25 to 5k-10k on others. I hate restrained bet limits. Although my current methodology seldom requires bet of more than 15 units.

Quote
Next News Story: "ALBALAHA COMING TO AMERICA" :)
   Maybe some day. I do not want to feature in the black book of casinos. Thanks for the best wishes
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Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Millionaire's plan: My dream project
« Last post by KungFuBac on May 10, 2021, 02:37:50 pm »
Hi Albalaha--Fine Post.
It appears you have been spending alot of time in the lab.

"...30 consecutive trials with 9 or lesser wins; or
8 or more consecutive losses before a W hits; or
10 or more losses, in the last two wins like LLLLLLWLLLLW
These will be a 2 SD (below mean) case..."

     This is interesting. I would hypothesize u should see this often enough at front end of shoes to make your wait time tolerable.
     Q: Am I correct you allow these triggers to present across two shoes??

"...Plus, I will keep a target of +50 and stop loss of -100
I believe that due to sequential probability, I have got at least 90% chances to win a session and combining all these forces would make it 95%. However, certain sessions might not yield 50 units. ..."


     I like your metric and ratios on this part.

Re: However, certain sessions might not yield 50 units.
     Q: When it doesn't achieve >=50 U win do you mean it approaches 50(like + 43, 48,...etc)??

"...Only downside of this strategy is to wait for a valid alert but even if I have access to 4-5 tables with marquee, it is easy to get 3-5 alerts in 5-8 hours in a real casino, in baccarat. I have got access to 50+ tables of live baccarat online 24x7x365 so easy for me to get even more everyday..."

     What is bet spread for most of your online casinos? Can u actually see the cut and dealers dispersing cards for each individual hand??

*Casino in Vegas offers multi-portal Stadium Bac (wager on 4 live dealer tables at once) from your own individual monitor with dealers in view/video transmitted to your screen,...etc. $5--10K bet spread.

Next News Story: "ALBALAHA COMING TO AMERICA" :)


Good work Albalaha.



Continued Success,
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Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: +50 OR -100?
« Last post by Albalaha on May 10, 2021, 11:43:39 am »
#2 Throughout below average session won too with +50
          72 Wins vs 83 losses, Max DD=-25, max bet= 7 units


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Albalaha's Exclusive / +50 OR -100?
« Last post by Albalaha on May 10, 2021, 11:22:33 am »
I was doing final tests of my latest methodology to see whether I get +50 or -100 first in some below average annoying sessions.
 Got +53 in this session of 48 wins vs 64 losses, max DD= -16, max bet= 8 units.


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Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Millionaire's plan: My dream project
« Last post by Albalaha on May 10, 2021, 05:41:24 am »
It appears to be finalized.
             I will play with alert, trigger and pause-resume and a stop loss (collectively, I call them extreme variance management).

An alert of my choice would be any of them:
 30 consecutive trials with 9 or lesser wins; or
8 or more consecutive losses before a W hits; or
10 or more losses, in the last two wins like LLLLLLWLLLLW
These will be a 2 SD (below mean) case

Any WLW or WW after an alert will "trigger" or start my attack

Pause-resume will be my secret recipe. I have a very basic strategy to use it where it is not practically possible to pause your betting in a real casino. I will still use its efficacy.
My money mgt is my innovation whose potential has been shown in this topic:
https://betselection.cc/index.php?topic=11314.0

Plus, I will keep a target of +50 and stop loss of -100

I believe that due to sequential probability, I have got at least 90% chances to win a session and combining all these forces would make it 95%. However, certain sessions might not yield 50 units. Afterall, I have very wild randomness to fight with.

 Only downside of this strategy is to wait for a valid alert but even if I have access to 4-5 tables with marquee, it is easy to get 3-5 alerts in 5-8 hours in a real casino, in baccarat. I have got access to 50+ tables of live baccarat online 24x7x365 so easy for me to get even more everyday.
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