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Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: BlockDAG: An upcoming oppo...
Last post by Albalaha - Today at 06:06:59 AM
Quote from: ADulay on April 12, 2024, 05:09:16 PMSo, if I read this correctly, if I purchase $1000 of something called "BlockDag" now, when it actually launches I'll have $5,000,000.

Swell.  Where do I sign up?


 Well, you misread it Captain.
           Had you invested $1,000 in its presale in the first batch while the rate was $0.001 and you would have got it at $0.05 as the listing price, as claimed by the website, you could have gained 50x and your investment could have been worth $50k, in that case. Now, it is at $0.006 so you will earn 6x lesser than the purchasers of the first batch.
                  You might never have seen anything alike, I believe but it happened numerous times with cryptos. The pre sale discounts and its hype made much more money than this, in the past. Any good presale could get your money at 3x to 10x easily. 50x is not ordinary but nothing out of world if we consider the historical events of such presales.
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: BlockDAG: An upcoming oppo...
Last post by Albalaha - Yesterday at 04:31:55 PM
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: BlockDAG: An upcoming oppo...
Last post by Albalaha - Yesterday at 04:26:04 PM
I invested @ $0.005 and now it is at $0.006 already. To sign up, one needs to take these steps:

1. You should have a crypto wallet, preferably trust wallet or metamask

2. Make a deposit to that wallet and buy either ethereum, USDT or BNB for what you want to start investing with at least $20

3. use this link: https://purchase1.blockdag.network/?ref=isv02i9j

press "Buy" button and then "Buy coin"

4. Then you would be prompted to connect your wallet. Press "connect buton" on your wallet.

5. Then you will be redirected to the BlockDag website and it will show your wallet adress as connected. Fill in the amount of Ethereum or USDT or BNB you want to use and buy and confirm it. You wil then see your units that you have purchased.

Any doubts?
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable ...
Last post by AsymBacGuy - Yesterday at 02:58:34 AM
Normally anytime we choose to bet a side we hope to be more right than wrong, without giving the proper value to the numerous factors that might alter in our favor the hand's destiny.

Our algorithms act by a different and more sophisticated way: They collect the most number of actual shoe informations and they put them in relationship of a general probability ascertained after thousand and thousands of real shoes data.

It could happen that actual shoe results will substantially differ from "expected" outcomes, that's why we have increased the real betting parameters weight. After all it'll be way better to wait than hoping to be right at too confused situations.

Hoping for the best is the recreational players mantra, expecting the worst and playing the probabilities is the pros way to accumulate profits.

Let's see in a very simplified fashion what are our algos lines of operations.

1) Smaller is the number of bets made, greater will be the probability NOT to fall into the undetectable variance's realm.
It's not a coincidence that casinos want us to make a lot of bets, knowing very well that the probability to be right will esponentially decrease with the number of bets placed.

Notice that casinos will win a lot more money by exploiting players bad attitudes than by taking advantage of the HE, so mathematical issues take a minor role in that.

The math assumption why no matter how are diluted our bets the probability to win is always EV- belongs just to 2+2=5 losers.
Fortunately when a gambling game cannot be resolved by math it remains unbeatable.

2) Since the bac productions are asymmetrically produced whatever the reasons involved, selectively chasing the clustering effect of something will get more positive sequences in quantity and quality than expected by a perfect independent 50/50 proposition.
It's just a matter of time (and we should consider 'time' in a different way than casinos do).

3) Frequency and rhythm are both two decisive factors to take care of, actually casinos and mathematicians do care only about frequency not knowing a fk about rhythms of presentation.

4) Average sd values of certain pattern presentation and distribution.
If given random walks action applied to several thousands and thousands of shoes data provide 2.5 sigma negative deviation maximum levels, it means that the betting model is somewhat restrained in its negative fluctuations. On the other end the positive deviations counterpart had demonstrated to reach 3.5 or even 4 sigma values. A big edge, I guess.   

5) Raising the probability of success facilitates the clustering/isolated pattern distribution.

Anyone reading my pages knows that it's a good idea to rely upon a 0.75 probability distribution as being more detectable than a mere 50/50 or so probability.     
Actually there are times when a given losing bet entices the same losing side to be wagered again and situations when the simple random walks action suggests to bet a side independently of the previous hand's destiny.

Itlr the random walk action takes a primary role, yet when the first (losing) bet was made at Banker side, we have more reasons to bet again the Banker side for obvious reasons.
This is just the sole situation we might alter the random walk pace that we've instructed to consider outcomes as 50/50 placed.

6) More likely distributions

Whereas it's relatively likely to encounter consecutive clustered singles not belonging to the two category, it'll be slight less probable to encounter 2-3 or 3-4 lenght streaks not coming out clustered at least one time.

Exaggerating a bit and for the lovers of progressive plans, after two isolated 2-3 or 3-4 streak situations, a clustered 2-3 or 3-4 event will happen by degrees of probability well superior than what math dictates.

Of course the same progressive plan could be applied by a positive wagering "chasing" the clustered situations superior than two, relying upon the verified long term streaks propensity to form same or next to same lenght categories.

7) More likely events distribution

If we use a 0.75 probability to succeed, we'll get an expected W/L 3:1 ratio, but since any shoe is asymmetrically shaped such ratio will be disregarded several times along any shoe dealt. Say more often than not. 
Thus we should discard from our plan (in a way or another) those ideal average ratios as being less probable than what an asymmetrical distribution will be capable to do.

The list is not over yet.

See you in a couple of days.

AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable ...
Last post by AsymBacGuy - April 23, 2024, 09:10:09 PM
Everybody knows that singles constitute 25% of total hands dealt, the remaining hands will arrange into streaks of different lenght.
So after 20 hands dealt, on average we'll expect 5 singles and 5 streaks; after 40 hands 10 singles and 10 streaks and after 60 hands 15 singles and 15 streaks.

Of course those percentages will equal itlr and also at the vast majority of shoes dealt, meaning that we will expect relatively low deviations.

Yet everybody knows that a single shoe is a world apart, the same about few consecutive shoes dealt.
Think about sections containing 6, 7 or more consecutive streaks without no singles and the exact opposite scenario.
Those are natural "strong" deviations that must be balanced along the way, otherwise the game would be easily beatable.

Anyway such balancement most of the time doesn't act symmetrically as the transitory deficit will be overcome by low or moderate changes of direction, privileging opposite short patterns than long patterns.

More later

Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: BlockDAG: An upcoming oppo...
Last post by Albalaha - April 22, 2024, 06:49:52 AM
Most of the well known crypto came into market with such pre launch sale. It means being sold for its promotion before being sold officially on a crypto exchange, to public at large. It is a great opportunity to get a good crypto at a lucrative rate. at times, the prelaunch price and launch price could be 100x or even more.
      It seems you guys have got no experience of such presales. I would recommend this BlockDag at current prices to everyone. Invest a bit, take a gamble, that's it.
  This BlockDag has a presale target of $600 Millions which will be achieved with 45 Batches of presale in which 9th batch is currently going on. The entire exerciese of these 45 sales will most likely conclude in 6 months so I assume that it will end by June 2024. Recently another great presale of a future cypto RETIK finished giving 8x benefits to the starters and it concluded within 75 days only.
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable ...
Last post by AsymBacGuy - April 22, 2024, 03:25:39 AM
I guess that the above WL distributions won't make many acute players to lose, factors why this should be accomplished were widely described in my pages.

Our algorithms move around a sequential multistep on/off action, always based upon a given random walk.

1) Singles vs streaks: most distributions move around one or two singled distributions, an interesting part of total shoes dealt won't provide single sequences greater than two. Anyway one/two single situations are more likely to come out clustered than isolated.

2) When a single pattern surpasses the two cutoff clustered value, at the next opportunity we'll play toward a single/double pattern happening. In case of loss we'll wait for another single to show up before betting again toward one/two singled events.

3) Any streak will belong to 2, 3, 4 or higher class, but since the higher class is somewhat restricted in its apparition, 2/3 and 3/4 classes will more likely form clustered events unless the higher streaks are intertwined by long chopping sequences.

4) No matter how streaky is the actual shoe, either we'll win at single/double single sequences or  by assessing the average streak classes clustered distribution.

5) If the shoe presents many chopping events surpassing the 1/2 cutoff value and streaks won't belong to 2s or 3s, we do not have triggers to rely upon.         
Even if this possibility is the less likely to happen,  it do need further comments.

Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: BlockDAG: An upcoming oppo...
Last post by ADulay - April 20, 2024, 06:44:58 PM
What is a "pre-launch" sale and how many can they have before the actual "launch" price comes into play?

Nine pre-launches sounds a bit odd, but then my understanding of the entire endeavor is miniscule.

Alrelax's Blog / Re: On the way to play later t...
Last post by alrelax - April 20, 2024, 02:06:30 PM
We had a GREAT few shoes!  Simply fantastic indeed!  Snagged some pictures and will post later today.

You know, the 3 of us playing felt it in our chests at times, hard to explain the feeling, you would have had to been there to really understand the way we played AND WON! 

Looking back a day now, our whole bodies vibrated, but we totally respected the shoe and our winnings.  Camaraderie was strong and we milked it to the max.
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: BlockDAG: An upcoming oppo...
Last post by Albalaha - April 20, 2024, 05:03:40 AM
The first batch of the prelaunch sale started with the price $0.001. Now, in the 9th prelaunch sales batch it is already at $0.005. It is set to launch with a price of $0.08. I just Target this launch price for now. I recommend taking a plunge with what you can afford to spend on a leisure.