Btw, the Banker advantage on asymmetrical hands is 15.86% and not 15.7% as previously posted.
On average each side will have a 38% probability to be in the position either to not get an AS hand (Player chance) and to get a possible AS hand (Banker side).
In a word, we know that an average 38% of the time Player won't concede any Banker advantage right at the start of the hand.
At the same time, when Player draws but Banker doesn't show a 3,4,5 or 6 the hand will be symmetrical.
It's the intersection of those two requirements that makes an AS hand possible.
Easy to notice that the situations where Player has a drawing point (62%) don't correspond to the actual Player drawing percentage (50.3%) as some Banker hands will be naturals.
Therefore it might come to our advantage trying to know when a 6,7,8 or 9 could more likely land on Player side because now not only the AS apparition will be impossible but also as those points are mathematically favorite to win a Player bet.
(We shouldn't care the times when we lose the P bet having 6,7 or 8: itlr we are favorite to win).
The opposite situation, that is the bunch of Banker points capable to get an AS hand, will be more difficult to assess as it takes one previous condition to be fulfilled.
The miriad card combinations tend to darken the picture for several reasons.
- first, the 38% value on each side is high variance related;
- second, a fair percentage of P favorite hands succumb to the higher B points;
- third, not every AS hand will show the same degree of B advantage;
- fourth, due to card distribution, many AS spots will make Player a winner despite its disadvantage;
- fifth, some AS situations aren't so B advantaged. Let's think about P 5 vs B 4.
Despite this, every our Player bet getting a 6,7,8 or 9 point on the first two cards will be a sure favorite to win itlr. Every other scenario (P drawing) will be a sort of disaster (at different degrees) an average of 38% of the time.
Oppositely, every Banker bet NOT getting a 3,4,5 or 6 point wil be a sure loser itlr, because either it loses or it wins 0.95% of our bet. Indeed it will a terrific bet whenever any 3,4,5 or 6 will land on this side having the Player drawing.
By this new point of view we should consider any Player bet not getting 6,7,8 or 9 a loss no matter the real outcome.
At the same time any Banker bet not forming a 3,4,5 or 6 when Player doesn't draw is a loss, no matter the outcome.
In the intermediate-long run a careful registration of those point situations will help us to ascertain if we were betting the right side or the wrong side.
Naturally and without some possible statistical hint coming on our favor, everything will follow the old expected percentages.
So the point is: could statistics help us to spot the times when a given ratio will be raised or lowered?
as.
On average each side will have a 38% probability to be in the position either to not get an AS hand (Player chance) and to get a possible AS hand (Banker side).
In a word, we know that an average 38% of the time Player won't concede any Banker advantage right at the start of the hand.
At the same time, when Player draws but Banker doesn't show a 3,4,5 or 6 the hand will be symmetrical.
It's the intersection of those two requirements that makes an AS hand possible.
Easy to notice that the situations where Player has a drawing point (62%) don't correspond to the actual Player drawing percentage (50.3%) as some Banker hands will be naturals.
Therefore it might come to our advantage trying to know when a 6,7,8 or 9 could more likely land on Player side because now not only the AS apparition will be impossible but also as those points are mathematically favorite to win a Player bet.
(We shouldn't care the times when we lose the P bet having 6,7 or 8: itlr we are favorite to win).
The opposite situation, that is the bunch of Banker points capable to get an AS hand, will be more difficult to assess as it takes one previous condition to be fulfilled.
The miriad card combinations tend to darken the picture for several reasons.
- first, the 38% value on each side is high variance related;
- second, a fair percentage of P favorite hands succumb to the higher B points;
- third, not every AS hand will show the same degree of B advantage;
- fourth, due to card distribution, many AS spots will make Player a winner despite its disadvantage;
- fifth, some AS situations aren't so B advantaged. Let's think about P 5 vs B 4.
Despite this, every our Player bet getting a 6,7,8 or 9 point on the first two cards will be a sure favorite to win itlr. Every other scenario (P drawing) will be a sort of disaster (at different degrees) an average of 38% of the time.
Oppositely, every Banker bet NOT getting a 3,4,5 or 6 point wil be a sure loser itlr, because either it loses or it wins 0.95% of our bet. Indeed it will a terrific bet whenever any 3,4,5 or 6 will land on this side having the Player drawing.
By this new point of view we should consider any Player bet not getting 6,7,8 or 9 a loss no matter the real outcome.
At the same time any Banker bet not forming a 3,4,5 or 6 when Player doesn't draw is a loss, no matter the outcome.
In the intermediate-long run a careful registration of those point situations will help us to ascertain if we were betting the right side or the wrong side.
Naturally and without some possible statistical hint coming on our favor, everything will follow the old expected percentages.
So the point is: could statistics help us to spot the times when a given ratio will be raised or lowered?
as.