Most part of long term successful players (there aren't many, of course) treat baccarat as a game filled of huge uncertainty. No news.
The most important consequence, verified by long term data, is that very few hands are able to erase and invert the HE.
Obviously in the short term and due to the almost 50/50 nature of the game, one could be ahead for several sessions thinking to be a kind of genius or, simply, because he/she was kissed by luck.
Basically long term successful players play baccarat as a relatively "finite" infinite situations, meaning that each shoe (the finite part) will represent infinitely by the same general features displayed after having dissected a large amount of data.
Thus they don't hope for, they just "fear" that the devised betting spot won't belong to the more likely category assessed by running the same situation the more they could.
In any EV- game, the paramount goal remains to preserve the bankroll and not trying to be ahead at all costs, therefore all intermediate winning/losing situations must get the least deviations.
After all and after a fair amount of shoes played, baccarat might concede us just a tiny amount of possible EV+ hands that shouldn't be wasted by betting too many hands.
The idea that every hand is EV- as math dictates so is a total fkng bigh.ornsh.it, it's just a matter of time and proper betting selection to disprove that.
Consider the previous post about 2-3 streaks.
Suppose we have some fictional players betting for us: all of them will wager toward C-C vs a C-I pattern.
Player #1 whenever a C shows up will wager toward another C then stops.
Player #2 whenever a C-I-C shows up will wager toward another C then stops.
Player #3 whenever a x-I-I shows up will wager toward a C then stops.
Results (before vig for simplicity).
Player #1: +41 units (assuming C=+1 and I=-3)
Player #2: -11 units
Player #3: +8 units.
In this example it seems that Player #1 got the best results, Player #3 did fare fairly and Player #2 was the losing one.
Actually we shouldn't care which player got the best results, itlr cumulatively all three players got us a profit.
I'll make another example about asymmetrical/symmetrical results considered by our random walk C/I patterns. Here's asymmetrical patterns distribution:
C-C-I-C
C-I
I-C-I-C-C
C-C-C
C-C-I
C-I-C
C-C
C-C-C
I-C
C-I-I-C
C
I-I-C-I
I-C-C
C-C-C
C-C-C
C-C-C
C-I-C-I-C
C-C
C
C-C-I-C-C
C-C-I
I-I-C-C
I-I-I-C
C-C
I-C-C-C
I-C
C-C-I
C-C
C-C-I
C-I-C-I
C-C-C
C-C-C
I-C-C-I-C-C
C-C
C-C
I-C-C-C
C-C-C
C-I-C
I-C-C-C
C-C
C-C-C
C-C
C-C-I
C-C-C-I
I-C-I-C-I
C-C
C-I-C
C-I-C-C
C-C
C-C-C-C
I-C-C
C-C-C
C-C-C-I-C
C-C
C-I-C-C
C-C-C
C-C
C-C-C
C-C-C-C
I-C-C
C-C-I
C-C-C
C-I-C
I-I-C-C
I-C-I-C
C-I
C-C-C
C-C
C-C-I
I-C-C
C-C-I-I
I-C-C-I
C-C-C
I-C-C
C-C-I-C
I-C-C-I-C
I-I-I-I
C-C
C-C-C-I
C-C
I-C-C
I-C
C-C
C-I-I-C-C
C-I-C-I
C
C-C-C
C-C-C
C-C
C-C-C
C-C-I-C
C-C-I-C-C
C-C
C-C-C
C-C-C
I-C-C
I-C-C
C-C-C-C
C-C-I-I
C-C-C
C-C
I-I-C
C-C-C
I-C-I
I-C-C
C-C
I-C-C
C-I-I-I-I-C
C-I-I-C
C-C-C
C-I-C
I-C-I-I-C
C-C-I-C
C-C
C-I-C-C-C
C-I-C-C
I-C-I-I-C
I-I-I-C
C-I-C
C-C-I
C
I-C-I-C
C-I-I-C
I-C-C
I-C-C-C-I
I-C-C
C-C-C
C-C-C
C-C-C
C-C
C-C
I-C
C-C-C-C
C
C-C
C-C-C
I-C-C-I-I
C-C-C
C-C
I-C-I-C-C
C-C-I-C
C-C-C
C-C-C-C
C-C-C-C
C-C-C-I
I-I-C-I-C-C
I-C-C-C
C-C-C
C-C-I
C-C-C
C-C-I-C
C-C-C
C-I-C
C-C-C-I
C-C
Player#1 betting C-C vs C-I = +20
Player#2 betting C after C-I-C = -2
Player#3: betting C after x-I-I = -1
We could even insert a fourth Player betting toward C after a single I: = +10
Now symmetrical spots (C= clustered and I=isolated)
I-I-I-C
I
I-I-C-I
C-I
C-I
C-I
I-C
C-I
I-I
I-I-I-I
C-I-I
I-C
I-C
I-I-I
I-C
C-I-C-I
I
C-I-I-I
I-I-I
I-I-I-C
I-I-I-I-C
I-C
I-I-I-I
I-I-C
C-C-I
I-C
I-I-I
I-I-I-I-C
I-I
I-C
C-I-I-I-I
I
I-I
I-C-I
C-C
C-I
I-I-I-I-C
I-I
I-I
I-C
I-I
I-I-C-I
I-C-I-I-C
C
I-C
I-I-I-
I
C-I-I
C-I-C
I-I-I
I-C-I-I
C-I
I-I-I-I-C
I-I-C
I-I
I-I
I-I-I-C
C-I-C
I-I-C
I-I
I-I-C
C-I-I
C-C-I
C
I-I
I-C-I
C-I-C
I-I-I
I-I-I-C
C-I-C-I
I-I-
I-I
I-I-C
I-I-I
I-I-C-I
I-C-I-I
I
I-I-I-I
I
I-I
I
I-I
I-I-I-I
I-C-C-C
C
I-I
I-C
I
I-I-I
I-C-I
I-I-I-I-C
I
I-C-I-I
I-I
I-C-I
I-I
I-I-C
I-I-I-I
I-I
I-I-C
I-C
I-I-C
C-I-C
I-I
I
I-I-C
I-C-I-I-I
I-I-I
C-I
I-C
I-I-I-I
I-I-C-I
C
I-I-I-I
I-I-I
C-I-I-I
I-C-I
I-I
I-I-C
I
I-I-C
I-I-C
I-I
I-I-I-I
C-C
I-I
I-C
C-C
C
I-C
C
I-I-C
C
I
I-I
I-C-I-I-I
C-I
C
I-I-I-C-I
I-I-I-C
I-I
I-C-I
I-I-I
I
C-C
I-C-I-I-I-I
C-I-C-I
I-I
I-I-C
I-I
I-I-I
I-I
C-I
C-C-I
C-C
The average symmetrical patterns distribution explains why bac players keep losing and at the same time why casinos keep collecting huge profits by exploiting one of the numerous human flaws regarding gambling.
The HE is just an addendum, it's not the main cause why this game seems to be so unbeatable.
Moreover we could deeply investigate how long any symmetrical "C" will more likely last on average, now the advantage will be high as heaven.
See you in a couple of days.
as.
The most important consequence, verified by long term data, is that very few hands are able to erase and invert the HE.
Obviously in the short term and due to the almost 50/50 nature of the game, one could be ahead for several sessions thinking to be a kind of genius or, simply, because he/she was kissed by luck.
Basically long term successful players play baccarat as a relatively "finite" infinite situations, meaning that each shoe (the finite part) will represent infinitely by the same general features displayed after having dissected a large amount of data.
Thus they don't hope for, they just "fear" that the devised betting spot won't belong to the more likely category assessed by running the same situation the more they could.
In any EV- game, the paramount goal remains to preserve the bankroll and not trying to be ahead at all costs, therefore all intermediate winning/losing situations must get the least deviations.
After all and after a fair amount of shoes played, baccarat might concede us just a tiny amount of possible EV+ hands that shouldn't be wasted by betting too many hands.
The idea that every hand is EV- as math dictates so is a total fkng bigh.ornsh.it, it's just a matter of time and proper betting selection to disprove that.
Consider the previous post about 2-3 streaks.
Suppose we have some fictional players betting for us: all of them will wager toward C-C vs a C-I pattern.
Player #1 whenever a C shows up will wager toward another C then stops.
Player #2 whenever a C-I-C shows up will wager toward another C then stops.
Player #3 whenever a x-I-I shows up will wager toward a C then stops.
Results (before vig for simplicity).
Player #1: +41 units (assuming C=+1 and I=-3)
Player #2: -11 units
Player #3: +8 units.
In this example it seems that Player #1 got the best results, Player #3 did fare fairly and Player #2 was the losing one.
Actually we shouldn't care which player got the best results, itlr cumulatively all three players got us a profit.
I'll make another example about asymmetrical/symmetrical results considered by our random walk C/I patterns. Here's asymmetrical patterns distribution:
C-C-I-C
C-I
I-C-I-C-C
C-C-C
C-C-I
C-I-C
C-C
C-C-C
I-C
C-I-I-C
C
I-I-C-I
I-C-C
C-C-C
C-C-C
C-C-C
C-I-C-I-C
C-C
C
C-C-I-C-C
C-C-I
I-I-C-C
I-I-I-C
C-C
I-C-C-C
I-C
C-C-I
C-C
C-C-I
C-I-C-I
C-C-C
C-C-C
I-C-C-I-C-C
C-C
C-C
I-C-C-C
C-C-C
C-I-C
I-C-C-C
C-C
C-C-C
C-C
C-C-I
C-C-C-I
I-C-I-C-I
C-C
C-I-C
C-I-C-C
C-C
C-C-C-C
I-C-C
C-C-C
C-C-C-I-C
C-C
C-I-C-C
C-C-C
C-C
C-C-C
C-C-C-C
I-C-C
C-C-I
C-C-C
C-I-C
I-I-C-C
I-C-I-C
C-I
C-C-C
C-C
C-C-I
I-C-C
C-C-I-I
I-C-C-I
C-C-C
I-C-C
C-C-I-C
I-C-C-I-C
I-I-I-I
C-C
C-C-C-I
C-C
I-C-C
I-C
C-C
C-I-I-C-C
C-I-C-I
C
C-C-C
C-C-C
C-C
C-C-C
C-C-I-C
C-C-I-C-C
C-C
C-C-C
C-C-C
I-C-C
I-C-C
C-C-C-C
C-C-I-I
C-C-C
C-C
I-I-C
C-C-C
I-C-I
I-C-C
C-C
I-C-C
C-I-I-I-I-C
C-I-I-C
C-C-C
C-I-C
I-C-I-I-C
C-C-I-C
C-C
C-I-C-C-C
C-I-C-C
I-C-I-I-C
I-I-I-C
C-I-C
C-C-I
C
I-C-I-C
C-I-I-C
I-C-C
I-C-C-C-I
I-C-C
C-C-C
C-C-C
C-C-C
C-C
C-C
I-C
C-C-C-C
C
C-C
C-C-C
I-C-C-I-I
C-C-C
C-C
I-C-I-C-C
C-C-I-C
C-C-C
C-C-C-C
C-C-C-C
C-C-C-I
I-I-C-I-C-C
I-C-C-C
C-C-C
C-C-I
C-C-C
C-C-I-C
C-C-C
C-I-C
C-C-C-I
C-C
Player#1 betting C-C vs C-I = +20
Player#2 betting C after C-I-C = -2
Player#3: betting C after x-I-I = -1
We could even insert a fourth Player betting toward C after a single I: = +10
Now symmetrical spots (C= clustered and I=isolated)
I-I-I-C
I
I-I-C-I
C-I
C-I
C-I
I-C
C-I
I-I
I-I-I-I
C-I-I
I-C
I-C
I-I-I
I-C
C-I-C-I
I
C-I-I-I
I-I-I
I-I-I-C
I-I-I-I-C
I-C
I-I-I-I
I-I-C
C-C-I
I-C
I-I-I
I-I-I-I-C
I-I
I-C
C-I-I-I-I
I
I-I
I-C-I
C-C
C-I
I-I-I-I-C
I-I
I-I
I-C
I-I
I-I-C-I
I-C-I-I-C
C
I-C
I-I-I-
I
C-I-I
C-I-C
I-I-I
I-C-I-I
C-I
I-I-I-I-C
I-I-C
I-I
I-I
I-I-I-C
C-I-C
I-I-C
I-I
I-I-C
C-I-I
C-C-I
C
I-I
I-C-I
C-I-C
I-I-I
I-I-I-C
C-I-C-I
I-I-
I-I
I-I-C
I-I-I
I-I-C-I
I-C-I-I
I
I-I-I-I
I
I-I
I
I-I
I-I-I-I
I-C-C-C
C
I-I
I-C
I
I-I-I
I-C-I
I-I-I-I-C
I
I-C-I-I
I-I
I-C-I
I-I
I-I-C
I-I-I-I
I-I
I-I-C
I-C
I-I-C
C-I-C
I-I
I
I-I-C
I-C-I-I-I
I-I-I
C-I
I-C
I-I-I-I
I-I-C-I
C
I-I-I-I
I-I-I
C-I-I-I
I-C-I
I-I
I-I-C
I
I-I-C
I-I-C
I-I
I-I-I-I
C-C
I-I
I-C
C-C
C
I-C
C
I-I-C
C
I
I-I
I-C-I-I-I
C-I
C
I-I-I-C-I
I-I-I-C
I-I
I-C-I
I-I-I
I
C-C
I-C-I-I-I-I
C-I-C-I
I-I
I-I-C
I-I
I-I-I
I-I
C-I
C-C-I
C-C
The average symmetrical patterns distribution explains why bac players keep losing and at the same time why casinos keep collecting huge profits by exploiting one of the numerous human flaws regarding gambling.
The HE is just an addendum, it's not the main cause why this game seems to be so unbeatable.
Moreover we could deeply investigate how long any symmetrical "C" will more likely last on average, now the advantage will be high as heaven.
See you in a couple of days.
as.