A fascinating subject when dealing with an officially-declared independent-spin game. Can ordering these independent spins for spotting patterns be considered "valid"?
Regular statistics uses collections of spins to compare them with each other and draw conclusions.
I tend to think of it like this:
This is like analyzing a house versus analyzing the way the house's being built, in real time.
When seeing the house as a whole, you can count the number of blocks, how much concrete was used, how many meters of roof material it took, as well as any other total. This is akin to the long term, what the casino sees and calculates. Totals only, not how they came to be.
On the other hand, when tracking the house being built, you spot how the actual house-building develops: first the foundations, then the outer walls, the walls for the living room, the kitchen, the bathroom, etc... then finally the roof.
In this case, it is akin to watching the short-term. The confines of your current session. Where you spot the events that are happening within a certain cycle or length of spins.
I think it is the main difference between being the casino and being the player.
The casino knows exactly how the house will turn out because it has the exact list of materials (this is the house edge ). The player -instead- can only wager on specific events with a limited bank. So, when seeing the builder is preparing some concrete near the kitchen, then the player bets that the builder will make the kitchen wall and not the living room wall. No guarantees, of course, but simply betting on what seems to be the logical continuation according to how s/he sees houses are usually built.
In other words, betting for the continuation of events, right as the events are taking place.
How do you see using past spins to try to predict the game? Do you see any form of tracking useful?
Feel free to express your views.
Regular statistics uses collections of spins to compare them with each other and draw conclusions.
I tend to think of it like this:
- Statistics are based on samples of N amount of spins, valid in any order.
- The timeline is based on samples of N spins, which must be analyzed one after the other, in strict order.
This is like analyzing a house versus analyzing the way the house's being built, in real time.
When seeing the house as a whole, you can count the number of blocks, how much concrete was used, how many meters of roof material it took, as well as any other total. This is akin to the long term, what the casino sees and calculates. Totals only, not how they came to be.
On the other hand, when tracking the house being built, you spot how the actual house-building develops: first the foundations, then the outer walls, the walls for the living room, the kitchen, the bathroom, etc... then finally the roof.
In this case, it is akin to watching the short-term. The confines of your current session. Where you spot the events that are happening within a certain cycle or length of spins.
I think it is the main difference between being the casino and being the player.
The casino knows exactly how the house will turn out because it has the exact list of materials (this is the house edge ). The player -instead- can only wager on specific events with a limited bank. So, when seeing the builder is preparing some concrete near the kitchen, then the player bets that the builder will make the kitchen wall and not the living room wall. No guarantees, of course, but simply betting on what seems to be the logical continuation according to how s/he sees houses are usually built.
In other words, betting for the continuation of events, right as the events are taking place.
How do you see using past spins to try to predict the game? Do you see any form of tracking useful?
Feel free to express your views.