Quote from: Leroy on January 12, 2014, 02:39:18 AMI'd be interested to know the why of your opinion.
Past experience. Once upon a time I considered 20,000 spins on the dozens/columns to be a huge sample, and tried to find special "no show" patterns without realizing they were stiff. I've learned a lot, ditched many "fixed" methods, and came up to be in peace with the fact no stiff bet wins; it only has spurs of luck, which can last even thousands of spins, but are only spikes which aren't the whole graph.
I'm not going to tell you to stop playing, specially when you're winning. My best advice is this:
- Keep accurate tracking of every *unit* you make.
- Keep on betting your positive/winning streak to its fullest (it might be a week or a lifetime long one, that's why it's called gambling, with Mr. Random and Lady Luck lurking at every moment).
- If you give back 50% of your earnings, stop betting for real money, lock the profits and either a) never lay a single bet again (the casino can't take it back if you don't put it in game) or b) if you're willing to go on, prepare yourself as much as you can; don't go back to the casino until you have a working method.
All things said, for most casino players it's better to get addicted to the testing rather than to the betting. That is unless you win, but even then, fallback to being a tester on 50% reversal of luck.
...It's better to have half a house than no house, but it's best to let it go on if your game allows you to continue until you have a building. Just learn to react, don't be like the winning players who think they've found the "holy bet" and let themselves realize the true status of their bets only after they fall down entirely. As much as every long winning streak starts humbly, a reversed prolonged streak is first a tiny reversal in your balance, which can be easily identified by a peek at your accounting.
Best wishes for you to "get a building", but please remember the half-a-house advice if you see the tables turning.
Keep accurate records and by all means cling to your common sense.
Vic