What a joke, the process of answering questions from Senators.  What a waste of time, writing it down, handing it off, waiting for the card to be passed, reading them out loud.  What the hell? 

Seriously, I have to look at this process like a baccarat player that needs, say a one line or a two line card to win and anything else losses for him.  He gets a face card and turns it on all four sides peeking at it, that same black line is on all four sides no matter what, but he still continues to peek and peel the card numerous times.  The same exact process, a complete waste of time!

Okay, anyway I saw last night the following 2 questions being read out loud and read by the Chief Justice:

"The next question from Senator Banker from New York is:  Will the Banker repeat itself with the next hand being dealt because the Banker side won a hand following a tie event"?

Then the very next question was:

"The next question from Senator Player from California is:  Will the Player repeat itself with the next hand being dealt because the Player won a hand following the Banker side losing with 3 face cards to 2 face cards and an Ace for the Players side"?

http://www.cc.com/video-clips/5y9sui/the-daily-show-with-trevor-noah-the-magical--wonderful-road-to-impeachment---pelosi-greenlights-impeachment-articles-against-trump

2:15AM.  Closing up the restaurant and on the way to the casino with three buddies we'll see what happens.   Promise to post a picture or two in the morning...

Bac shoe the other night:

 
[attachimg=1]

We divided it up into three Sections.  We followed the Sections as they were presented, basically 95% anyways. 

Section A:  Produced a classic strong Player beginning and followed shortly thereafter with a strong Banker.  First F-7 of the shoe.

Section B:  Produced 15 Chop-Chops.  Do not pay attention to the doubles.

Section C:  Produced two F-7s.  Soon as it made that 3rd banker with that one being an F-7, everyone went heavy on the Banker, real heavy!  Counting the one cut to the Players side and the fall-off to the Player the second time, there were 5 good hits on the Banker side. 

Other Notes:  Every single natural for the Players side cut, except for the one just before the 6 Bankers came out at the end of Section A, where the Players made a double.  After a few I urged my comrades to adhere to the, 'Player will most likely cut' presentments, which it was doing.  (When it is repeatedly doing something, follow it, IMO). 

Just playing the chop-chop after Section A, would have produced 16 chops for you and you would have lost only 2 to those doubles. 

Another Board Member said:

"Such aggressive progressions will win till losing all back in one bad stretch. Not wise at all".

I Said:

"You are correct and countless people will no doubt give it all back.

I do not. A few of the people there will not either. Others will no doubt, just fuel for their fire that will wipe them out and cause worse financial harm.

H-Money has finally gotten over it, I do believe. I have written about the subject of real money management method immensely on the board here. Money Management Method is everything.

I live by my one-third, one-third, one-third MMM of my wins application. That has helped my game enormously and I would have to put it at the very top of what is most important, while I'm sitting there thinking what is going to happen with the rest of the shoe or the rest of the session".

Some Background of something I wrote in regards to my position and M.M.M. to get ahead in the game of Baccarat:

"What is Pounce-On-It??

Game On!  There, but not there.  Seconds--Minutes--Hours.  A few hands or numerous hands.  One or two shoes.  Never a long, unlimited time, IMO and my experience.

When it comes--it is the absolute heaven and organismic moments of the game.  If you play with your head down into your hand that is propped up on the table and you expect to lose, or you are playing with a mechanical strategy built up from some kind of criteria of playing those cuts, where as the person is wagering for the opposite side, please skip reading this and just block me on here because we will never see eye-to-eye and you have nothing to learn from me and I have nothing to learn from yourself.

Otherwise, experience it--treasure the pounce on it moments and take advantage of them, because that is the cream and the cherry on top of the cake, within this game.  I emphasis the cream and the cherry big time!

But, and a large but.  Do not live for them or bet only them every time.  Attempting to do so, will break you.  Just like those people that wager every hand with the Fortune 7s, the Panda 8s and the other ones that pay 200:1, etc. You will win and you will lose.  Again, and I have repeatedly said it.  If you keep wagering for something in baccarat you will lose, sometimes the same night and always after a series of playing.  You will never come out ahead unless you play all sides, alternate your wagering, use positive progressive very aggressively and use negative progressions extremely sparingly and more.   

Game on, is a difficult situation to catch all the time, actually IMO, impossible.  Because the game of baccarat is open to interpretation by each of us, we are influenced by many different things, such as:

   Our experience(s)
   Other players
   Dealers
   Our own perceptions
   Our dreams and goals
   Our greed
   Not stopping during a good thing (greed/think we can get more)
   Not stopping during a bad thing (have to get it back, thinking you can)
   Following the fallacy of wrong info and data that will not apply to the
    shoe you are playing, not that it is wrong, just will not apply.

Those, along with others will disallow yourself to 'pounce-on-it' when others are or you very well could have been!

And so many more things for each of us.

Take Friday night for instance.  The Thursday night session I postponed until Friday night because  I had to do something else and I would have been too tired to drive back and open the business in the morning.  My buddy and I went.  Speculation?  Yes.  Hype and talk on the way to the casino?  Sure.  But do we always do what we plan or say we are going to do?  Of course not, the same as an NFL game I can only imagine.

And, as I wrote about and boasted a bit on the board here with the $5k plus win on Friday night playing a total of 4 hands.  Will there always be a '143' F-7 outcome with the same leading up to events?  Hell no!  And I don't expect it to.   But, that one did come around through friendship, playing together and being in the right place at the right time.  Nothing else.  No magic.  However, there is a point here I am getting to.  And that was the 2 following hands!  We 'pounced on it', both my buddy and I with table max wagers on the banker side.  That is the positive side of camaraderie and the pouncing on it at work.  We overpowered the shoe.  Not that we changed it, just overpowered it with our wins, that we would have won $100.00 as easily as we did $2,000.00 per wager.  Our screaming, yelling, clowning around, putting cash on the table for the dealer if she makes an F-7 (dealers keep their own tips at this place) and all that.  That F-7 would have come about anyway, yes.  But the aura changes, the mood gets going, win is in the air, etc.  Even if we were betting for a streak, and a streak comes.  We can do those things on every single hand and when it is time to cut the streak, the streak will end no matter what anyone says or does.  But we can overpower the shoe with the right frame-of-mind.

But, you have to let it go.  As I say, reset and refresh, it is the only way to be successful and have your game ready each time. Experiencing the best and accepting the worst. That is why I am convinced about the smaller buy-ins and the buy-in is 100% risk money.  I do not subscribe to the worthless theory, IMO--of 'loss stop', like - 4 or -6 units and stop.  Senseless, IMO.  I do well with the buy-in as pure 'risk'.  I know overall my wins are countless times greater than my buy-ins.  And as long as I, employ 99.9% of the times use and follow my M.M. system, I will stay ahead--well ahead of the losses baccarat will incur.

We are mature--but you have to have that 'peace' within your self when you lose a buy-in.  You cannot sit there and continue to buy-in repeatedly in the thought, that you will recoup your losses right then and there.  That is the exact reason that my other buddy H-Money lost in excess of $50,000.00 of his own money in a very short period of time.  Even when he won certain sections of his sessions, he would continue and continue to play and eventually lose the win, the buy in and whatever else he had available.  That is the way this game is.  If you don't realize it, play that way and come back in a few months and then maybe learn something?

Like I said, H-Money did not believe me and follow me.  It cost him $50k to $60k of his 'blood sweat and tears' savings.  Welcome to reality, pure 100% reality.

What you do and win within any section of the shoe or the entire shoe, you very well might not be able to do with later or the next session.  Period.  If you believe you can, any casino will welcome you and take care of you in the way of comps and promotions because they know 100% what will happen.

As well, as I have said many times--"What you win doing in one shoe--you will lose in another one and possibly even the same one".  That is why every system that is pre-scheduled and conceived from a criteria that the player waits for a certain event--will ultimately lose more than he wins".

It was said on our board here: "I wonder that most of the players do not progress in knowledge or skill even slightly after wasting decades".

How very true!  Absolutely and without question.  Not only in baccarat, but in so many other aspects of business as well, no different. 

Here, my response.  Something I read a while back, made a copy and shelved.  Fits right in and provides such an insight to many things.

"There is a world of difference between a person who has a big problem and a person who makes a problem big.  For several years I would do between 20 and 30 hours of counseling a week.  I soon discovered that the people who came to see me were not necessarily the ones who had the most problems.  They were the ones who were problem conscious and found their difficulties stressful.  Naive at first, I would try to fix their problems, only to discover that they would go out and find others.

A study of three hundred highly successful people, people like Franklin Delano Roosevelt, Helen Keller, Winston Churchill, Albert Schweitzer, Mahatma Gandhi, and Albert Einstein, reveals that one-fourth had handicaps, such as blindness, deafness or crippled limbs.  Three-fourths had either been born into poverty, came from broken homes, or at least came from exceedingly tense or disturbed situations. 

Why did the achievers overcome problems, while millions and millions are overwhelmed by theirs?  They refused to hold on to the common excuses for failure.  They turned their stumbling blocks into stepping-stones.  They realized they could not determine every circumstance in life or whatever it was they were attempting to get done, but they could determine their choice of attitude toward every circumstance.

The Los Angeles Times recently ran this quote:  "If you can smile whenever anything goes wrong, you are either a nitwit or a repairman."  I would add: or a leader in the making--one who realizes that the only problem you have is the one you allow to be a problem because of your wrong reaction to it.  Problems can stop you temporarily.  You are the only one who can do it permanently."

Finally, the camaraderie and the heads played together, old school style, rather than the always wagering for the 'CUT' type of player.  Oh yeah, there was 2 players that continually played for the CUT and one got wiped out and the other walked almost even, everyone else made 10-to-30 fold their buy ins. 

Here was the board almost at the end of the shoe. 

[attachimg=1]

I tried to edit the picture but the tablet I am on is bad with the colors.  I tired, sorry they are not standing out bright.  Anyway, I circled some of the things we all agreed on at the time.  (I have cruised and read some of the Bac ideas and stories on other sites and they are all of the beginner and fallacy type of wagering to the 1,000,000th power!  We do not play that way and sorry for the non-believers and the constant challengers, but the way to profitably play Bac is more old-school and with risk capital that is a small percentage of one's bankroll as I have defined in another thread, sorry---but that is the only real comfortable and long-term way to capitalize on this game).

Bead Plate.  Look at the plate, I tried to circle the ones we all agreed on and the ones where almost all of our wagers were heavy, positively progressed and we won almost every one of those. 

The first Sections.  9 Bankers Vs. 23 Players.  There were a few people that believe the Bankers will always prevail thought school, just wager Bankers and you will win long term.  Complete horse garbage!  For those that did, they would have been lucky to make up their losses in the remaining Sections.  9 Bankers/23 Players, then onward to 22 Bankers Vs. 14 Players. 

F-7s.  5 Total in this shoe.  Hands 10 and 11.  Back to back.  Notice those were immediately after a Natural 9 Players which most of the time the F-7 does appear after a strong short burst of Players as I have mentioned and wrote about numerous times.  A fact.  3rd F7 was Hand 36 after another Natural Player 9.  4th and 5th F7s.  Amazing, but right there, look.  back to back once again after another Natural Player 9.

LOW TIES 0-1-2-3-4.  I have written about this countless times.  A fact.  Low ties tends to allow the shoe presentments to clump up strong, no matter if the clumping is streaks of repeats, naturals CUT, Chop Chop, 1's and 2's, etc., etc., and so on.  Find the threads and articles I have written, learn and profit. 

There are plenty of other things within this shoe, but you know what, I am going to quote another member here:  "....... I see no progress at all on any of the forums these days towards bettering our chances to win. People either gave up on this or a few are busy in churning old school proven failure ideas. Whenever I come up with some innovation and feel like discussing to members here, I see no progress and it feels like talking to wall here. Other forums have more chit chat but many members are foul-mouth and there is no attempt to control that by admins. This forum is the most disciplined one but apart from the admin himself, asymbac, Victor and myself nobody is even writing a single post for months".

I do feel like I am talking to a wall many times as wall, in fact--greater than 'many times'.  The new school way of high tech, score boarding, CUTS, and all that, etc., etc. and as well, the chastising and humiliation drama with the foul mouth drama queens that is so blatantly obvious as a standard.  Most thought or claimed it was just here, but a short cruise around the internet gambling forums, LOL--pretty much mainstream and almost all the same exact players/members.    

Basic of the Basics

Bank Roll: The Bank Roll a person maintains is, that which he borrows his Buy-ins from.  The Bank Roll is the total group of money that the player has set-aside for gambling. A person can have one or more Bank Rolls for various purposes.  Myself, I have a Bank Roll for Las Vegas or Atlantic City when I go on a destination venture.  I have another Bank Roll for the local area casinos.

Buy In:  The Buy-in is the amount of money the person buys in with for a particular gaming session.  IMO, through experience and knowledge, I would earmark 5% of my Bank Roll for a max Buy-in.  Example.  $10,000.00 Bank Roll would equate to a $500.00 Buy-in.  At times I might go as high as 10% Buy-in, but I do not believe I would ever go higher than that now.

Wins must replenish the Bank Roll and remove the Buy-in from the table and replace the Buy-in into the Bank Roll or at least hold off the table with no re-buying in if the current chip level is lost. 

Buy-ins must be viewed as total risk capital, IMO.  A Buy-in is played until wins are realized or the Buy-in is lost. 

A certain amount of win money has to be pre-determined in the persons mind in order to apply the 1/3rd, 1/3rd, 1/3rd I have written about and preached about.  The willpower, consciousness and non-tilt has to be constantly remembered can come about and avoided or at least be able to realize it/those are present and be able to walk away before the hurt starts.

Positive progressions must be used when the win(s) start. 

Explore and know what my 1 + 4 Side Parlay Wager is and how it is employed and attempted.  It is a powerful and very profitable tool, IMO. 

Know what your real Level & Plateau is.  Realize when you are outside of it and use it to your advantage. 

Example on a good Money Management Method.  Buy-in with $1,000.00.  Get up $2,200.00 in win money.  Total in front of you $3,200.00.  Remove $1,000.00 from the table and secure with no chance to use again.  The remaining $2,200.00 is split up to $700.00, $700.00 and $800.00.  $700.00 is also secured without any chance of re-buying in with that amount.  The second $700.00 is held in reserve for a possible re-buyin amount if you deem desirous.  And the $800.00 is played with as your current Buy-in and stack in order to win additional money and reapply the 1/3rd, 1/3rd, 1/3rd, etc. 

Figures above are examples.    

Key Points of Good Money Management Method in Baccarat

First and Foremost.  You have to govern yourself by Levels & Plateaus, that you are in.  Meaning.  Wagering and staying within your own Level and Plateau.  This is a MUST!  Figure it out, find it out, use it to your advantage.  It works.  I have written about it in detail, it is on this board. 

Develop a Bank Roll.  Understand that your Bankroll is different than your Buy-in.  Your Buy-in is a small section of your Bankroll.  Again, part of your Level & Plateau.  But, IMO your Buy-in should be no greater than 10% at the most extreme of your Bankroll. 

Replenish your Bankroll at the earliest possible time, like clockwork, without excuses or exceptions.  None, zero. 

Do not fall into the extremely hurtful, detrimental, not an advantage in the world, etc., belief that you build your Bankroll continually with win money and play larger and larger and greater and greater.  Every single case of that led the Bankroll holder to bust. 

Replenish your Bankroll with win money.  Do not apply all your win money to it.  Use win money for other things outside of Bankroll and gambling, etc. 

Always employ the 1/3rd, 1/3rd, 1/3rd with your win money as I have also written and detailed about. 

Understand that Buy-in is strictly risk capital and you are looking for capitalizing on presentments.  Nothing else.  All personal feelings and scheduled wagers need to be shelved and used extremely sporadic, the exact same as employing beliefs of wagering with or against someone because of what they are doing or not doing with their wagers, etc. 

Employ 1-3-2-6 or 1-3-2-4 or 1-3-4-8 positive progressions, if you are looking to do what the extremely disciplined players proved greater success with over the years, playing a bit more aggressive within shorter term sections, etc.

If you are trying to figure out where you want to go and what you want to be doing in gambling, you can not possibly get there if you do not understand where you are today and what you truly experienced and how it actually happened.

Once you do, than you can use it with advantages. 

So many on the internet, make it seem so easy.  Just follow this or that, Stop Loss and a Stop Win, earn so many units a day and you can easily make thousands a week.  Yeah right.  Show it in Black & White, support it with real pictures, documentation and other reality tangibles!  They cannot do that.  Reason why, because they are internet drama queens and thugs, getting their daily kicks or pushing their fabricated system that can offer you no better chance at winning than Hillary does at being the next president of the United States. 

So often, and IMO, more often than not--people stay away from threads on here because a handful of members coming along with all too familiar and disruptive, "could not, never did or will never happen" type of written comments. And then they go into their dialog, reasons, and blatantly hijacking out the thread, with really only one thing in mind.  The insult to the O.P. as well as boasting their status and position they perceive themselves holding within the community, the community on the internet.  For in reality, those very ones I am directing this to, have zip outside of the internet so-called community.  That is their lives, day in and day out. 

Certain people want control, one is through a forum message board.  You have witnessed it right here with 4 to 6 high-profile, A-Alpha Members that were either banned or moderated.  It happens all over, some will say only here on BetSelection, but that is a complete and utter lie.  Look at the other boards, WoV, VMB, and others.  Much larger scale of moderation and attempted control.  Some members outside of the Admin and Owners do manage to hang onto control for extended periods of time, for one reason or another.  The message boards are private concerns with limited public access, obey the rules and stay, if not you will most likely get trespassed and asked to leave.  If you do not leave you will be forced to leave.  No different than your local shopping mall, your local brick and mortar casino, a local restaurant.  No different.  Just here and other message boards, certain A-Alpha circles of members push and push and push and push until the drama starts. 

Like I was saying, a group of members will attempt control to their liking and venture onward the forum from there.  And in every case that control is in the way of insults, talking down to most others, forming a small group of comrades and a few co-conspirators, that will unilaterally support their A-Alpha brother/members.  It happens all over the forums.  That very small group will do whatever it takes to control and gain recognition for, but they do not stop there.  They derail almost all good threads, no matter the interest, content or possibility of further discussion. 

You will notice how most of the threads are taken over by the types I just described.  And the flip side is, the threads these types start, are short winded, generally complicated and not proven, have more gamblers fallacy and drama than those that they actually took over or attempted to take over in most every way.

Good points, bad points, real points, desired points, related or non related to most discussions are all perfectly acceptable. However, the insulting, disruptive business attempted within this board at times (used to be huge amounts) and from other forum boards, as well as harassment of the participants of whatever thread it is, should not be engaged in and IMO, do not belong on this or any other message board.  Drama of most any type will always lead to some type of mayhem.  And that causes ill will, hatred and pursuits that are useless, totally useless, except for the scoreboard of the drama queens that seem to live for just that very thing.  Worthless, but without a doubt, their treasured pursuit in life. 

No matter what, I love my family, my friends, this forum, lots of the members and baccarat.  Sure there are a few other things, but in reality those other things would be a sideways avenue of each of those that I spelled out in the previous sentence. 

Serious gambling. Rules of the road that will definitely assist you to make those decisions of the bet selections and capitalize on presentments that are presenting themselves. 7 of the best things you can ever research and get into your protocol are:

Realize.
Confront.
Change.
Stop the Pursuit of Endless Chasing.
Recognize.
Abide By.
Total Consciousness of Reality.

Steady and consistent with one or two or three units  and then a stop loss or a stop win, will eventually lead nowhere, except to broke or stopping before even if you have huge willpower traits. But you will never make money if you are staying consistent like I said.

You have to play engaged to realize what it is really about. Play heavy, meaning wager heavy on whatever you are winning at. Again look back to the 7 items I first mentioned, 'don't change and don't realize', now you get what I'm saying?

15 to 25 presentments within a section remember that.

+ 10 heavy would be possible.

10  + 5 units is 50, if that's not a goal I don't know what is?

One or two or three and stop is a Road to Nowhere!  Remember that.

4 + on larger progressed units plus, is the way to go.

Sections & Turning Points

A Further Explanation

Several have inquired and several have misinterpreted what I wrote previously.  So, I will attempt to further explain what Sections & Turning points are to me.

Sections.  Sections, is the shoe divided up into 3 to 5 windows that help me focus on numerous things.  A couple of those are the following.  First and foremost, to concentrate on what is being presented as a constant reminder on what the shoe is producing.  Some call that the flow of the cards or the presentments as they are happening, etc.  Either way, those or any of the other labels, it is reality and what is actually happening.  I do believe one of the greatest mistakes in playing baccarat is the continual looking back as to what happened or the opposite, what has not happened or what should happen, etc.  Second, after years and years of actual play, relying or counting on streaks, chops, doubles, cuts, ones and threes, ones and twos, etc., will only get you what is actually being presented.  Not what is due, what you want, what you are counting on, what could happen or anything of those desires we all have most of the times.  I have come to realize a few years back, that the shoe will do what the shoe will do, nothing more and nothing less.  Hence, the Section is reality as it is happening.  Third, there is no trigger(s) being defined, there are no sure wagers being defined, there are no should appear type of favoritism being brought about, if used the way I intended it to be used.

The reasoning for the 3 to 5 Sections is based on tens of thousands of live shoes being witnessed and played by myself, it is extremely rare for more than one half of the shoe to stay the same.  Meaning, all chops, all doubles, all streaks by one or two or even three or four times, etc., etc., and so on.  The common amount (could be a bit subjective to each of us, the actual number of hands) I would say is right around 15 to 20.  Therefore, a shoe of 80 hands would equal 4 Sections of 20.  A shoe of 80 hands might equal 5 Sections of 15 and so on. 

Turning Points. Turning Points, are the definitive time that the Section dies or comes about.  Exactly what the term means.  This is the spot that the Section ends and a new Section begins.  Like Jimske, a previous member that really rode into me and chastised myself for my writing, Sections & Turning Points, he seemed to have twisted my writing to his wrongful interpretation and how I came up with the Turning Points of the Sections.  I said it before and I will say it again.  A Turning Point is defined after it happens.  Not before.  We are not predicting anything here, we are not putting our desires or triggers or anything of the like, for the Turning Point line.  I am merely putting the Turning Point line exactly where it happened to define a Section that is closing and opening up a new Section.  Also, a bit subjective to the person playing of course. 

Say there was BB-P-BBB-P-B-P-B-PP-BB-P-BBB-B-PPPPPPPP-B.  I would draw a line either right before or after those 8 Players in a row depending on how they formed.  But if this example was from the first hand of the shoe, I would draw the line before probably would the 4th or 5th Player in a row.  Why?  Because the Section changed, clearly and definitively. 

I posted numerous pictures on the board here with examples on real score boards of Sections and Turing Points.  If you are interested, you can look those up.

There are numerous ways I use my Sections & Turning Points.  I have rarely seen repetitive whole shoe patterns and trends or presentments, whatever you wish to call them, repeat themselves over and over and over again for much more than one third of the shoe and even less, over a half of shoe.  After tens of thousands of shoes, I know it would be in the rare classification for there to be much greater than 15 alternating chops in a row, or greater than 12 doubles in a row, or more than eight 1s and 3s, or more than 3 streaks of greater than 10 in a row, etc., in one shoe.  I hope my point is coming across.

Likewise, when repetitive patterns, trends or groups of presentments seem to come back around, it would be later in the shoe, if they do at all. Sections & Turning Points can certainly highlight the groupings of presentments within their greatest appearing clumps or groups.  Weak or Strong in whatever the shoe is producing can be numerous things.  Streaks, Chops, Doubles, Ones and Threes, etc.  Sections & Turning Points assists me to define current presentments and the limited time the usually appear, narrowing down the possibilities of a BETTER WAGER or a WAGER WITH GREATER POSSIBILITY to win then not using it.       

The idea that anyone can control Baccarat and the shoe's outcome is the tendency for people to overestimate their ability to control events; for example, it occurs when someone feels a sense of control over outcomes that they both, physically and demonstrably do not influence, but they subconsciously believe that they have.

The effect happens all the time at the Baccarat table in live play, usually lasting for a small series of hands and then coming and going throughout the shoe or shoe's, until the players buy-in or bank roll is lost.  The same thing usually happens over and over for extended period's of time, because of the players desire to either recoup his losses or win larger sums of money thinking he can actually beat the casino on a repetitive basis. 

His very own thought influences his own behavior and belief in his ability to win the game of Baccarat on a long term basis and totally ignores his short term losses (most players huge mistake), which are mounting up with no real conscious thought by the player, (another huge mistake).  He turns his desires into false illusions of control using positive real (but false or temporary positive) illusions and setting aside all negative aspects of what he is actually creating and doing, as game variance or basis that he feels he can eventually overcome.

The illusions arise because people lack direct real-fact insight into whether they are in control of events and why they even have those thoughts or ideas in the first place. This has been called the introspection illusion in the technical and scholastic circles.  Instead those people judge their degree of control by a process that will be extremely unreliable and worthless in real life Baccarat play because of their ignorance and their desires are actually controlling themselves.   As a result, they see themselves as responsible for events when there is little or no real-life connection to the Baccarat events that just happened or maybe, previously happened and they are basing their wagering decisions on those events.

The saddest part of all this is, that most Baccarat players are likely to overestimate their control when the situations are heavily chance-determined, they also tend to underestimate their control when they actually have it, which runs contrary to some theories of the illusion that they actually possess.  And, because those Baccarat players overestimate their control, they wind up losing all their wins as well as their buy-ins and eventually bankrolls.

Wise up and realize what advantages really are at the Baccarat table, what it takes to gain those advantages and what advantages can actually help you win and win larger while holding those wins in the game of Baccarat!

To all members and non-members as well visiting us here at BetSelection Forum, we wish you and yours a Happy, Great and healthy 2020! 

Stay Well, Prosperous and Happy!  Best Wishes extended!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KoRiWGfWIVM

A few nights ago, we were all at the casino.  Late night, good table, lots of Karma, Freindship, a few Wifes and Husbands present, etc.  We get towards the end of the current shoe we were playing.  Full table, most people were winning.  Myself, H-Money and my resturant manager all grouped together.  Casino host comes over and checks on everyone.  The couple seated next to us asked for a comp to one of the resturants.  Host said sit tight, be right back with it.  The wife gets up, pushes her chip stacks in and says, color up.  She tells her husband be right back.  She grabs her purse and the cell phone she had wedged between her herself and the chair back and excuses herself to the restroom.  Husband pushes his chip stack in and asked the dealer to color up.

We are all refusing to play the last 10 or so hands and we ask for a new shoe.  Dealer looks over at the pit person and he nods his head okay.  All three of us are winning.  Everything great so far.  The husband to the excused wife that is gone, grabs the cell phone that was behind himself and says to H-Money whom he has know for quite some time, look at the first text message and check out the car I am buying, like 7,000 miles, the guy is broke and has to sell it within a few days in order to avoid legal action of some type, here look.  H-Money clicks on the first text and starts looking at the pictures.  H-Money breaks out laughing.  H-Money says, dude you are gay?  Really I do not want to look at pictures of some erect dicks being shown off!!  The husband grabs the phone and freaks out!  Tells H-Money that is his wifes phone and the guy grows furious.  The explanation is obvious, it is his wifes boyfriend or friend with benefits.

Just about that time his wife comes in the baccarat room and is screaming and yelling.  Turns out she did the exact same thing with the husbands phone and found some pictures of women on there as well. 

Oh well, just another night at the casino.   

You know I was talking to a couple very experienced players at the baccarat table the other night and I got out of paper and pen and showed them my 1 + 4 side parlay wager, that I constantly do.

You know take just $50 because a lot of tables are $50 minimum and parlay it four times after you win once is a net profit of $1,550. Take that same $50 and flatbet it you, need 31 wins to make the same amount of money. It looks like this:

$50.00.   Win wager: $100  $200 $400 $800.  Net Profit: $1,550.00

Flat Bet would look like this:

$50.00.  Win wager each time:  $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50 $50

And if you ever followed me and read anything I've written about my 1 + 4 side parlay wager,  it is not a consecutive dedicated wager.  I always have a main wager as my base bet, that is what I called my side wager and I'm wagering that out of my win money that's allocated four, five, six or seven times to complete one 1 + 4 side parlay wager.

Think about it, if you play to win you play to win!

Picking a side or picking a trend/event to happen is not the way to play this game unless you do it on an infrequent occasion. For consistency in any kind of session it will never work. Even then it will be a hit and miss type of thing, but much more manageable.

If you believe you can sit at the baccarat table and play numerous hands, shoe after shoe wagering for a certain thing, you are doomed from the very beginning. Second Lungyeh, is spot-on about James and Peter!  Following and breaking is extremely confusing to most and that is in total advantage to the casino each and every time and total disadvantage to the player. For the simple fact as mentioned you'll wind up winning some but you'll lose far in excess of what you win.

Money management is super important, yes absolutely. And of utmost priority. If you believe win stop and loss stop of units is money management, you are wrong.  So frequently mentioned by so many people, feel that doing just that will support you and allow you to win or not lose, that my friends is totally foolish.

Win and lose has to happen and it most certainly will. The way I found and proved to win when the win time presents itself to me, you have to have clear frame of mind and you have to be totally conscious of what is happening and being presented. That is why I came up with my Pounce On It, which I have written about many times so there's no need to rehash it here, it's already on the board.

Wild bets are hard to define and what is wild to me, might not be to you, and the opposite as well. However, wild or should we say much larger bets is a risk that will always be in the game and it is fine with me if it's with my win money, that is going to be allocated once I get to a certain point, which will be governed by my 1/3 1/3 1/3 money management method, I have often written about.

Buy-in.  Determines wagering and opportunity for each of us, which is individualistic to us. Buy-in has to be total risk capital.

Win. You have to understand win more than loss. Most all players allow wins to derail themselves and cause themselves to lose not only the win, but their buy-in as well.

Loss.  Most all baccarat players do not understand it and how it affects your frame of mind and consciousness of playing and the ability to see the presentments that the shoe is making. I don't want to get into it here, it's a complicated and detailed subject I've written about it elsewhere on the board.

When you win, you have to move to a true money management method of governing your future plays during that session. My 1/3 1/3 1/3 allows myself to do just that. From then on out, my wagering time spent at the table and when the session will end, will be truly governed by my 1/3 1/3 1/3.

As far as what Lungyeh said about my 70/30 is not totally correct. Once again my buy-in and yours should be total risk capital and not subject to loss stop. You will never win that way. What I have written previously about in short is the following.

Once I get a win to a certain point, I pocket my buy-in. Use 1/3 of the win to continue wagering. 1/3 of that same win will be a reserved amount. And the other 1/3 of it will be locked up and pocketed for an additional allocation for other non-gaming purposes. No exceptions. Exceptions only cause longer play, loss of win and usually loss of buy-ins and continued buy-ins to attempt recouping which will never work more than once or twice in many sessions.

Because the majority of the times you will experience a greater loss of hands then you will wins. Therefore, a continued flatbet or negative betting or progression to let you recoup, you will never win at this game at least anything sizable that is.

So, my 1/3 1/3 1/3 and my 1 + 4 side parlay plays, both coupled with my staying fully conscious of what my own level and plateaus are, while employing some positive progressions is the way to play in my opinion. Those things allow myself to win far in excess of my losses and most importantly I can most of the time capitalize on those opportunities that are either Banker or Player or side wagers or chops or doubles or triples or whatever they are named.

Merry Christmas to all!  Members and Non-Members alike! Love you all! Alrelax.

The Subject of Statistics

Are just that, PERIOD.  Nothing more, nothing less.  They are the result of what was studied and what was produced.  Those results do not and will not guarantee those very results or the method to get to those results, to transfer to your application of such.  Why?  Because those results/presentments/events will not appear in the same order at your baccarat, blackjack, roulette or craps table.  Please understand that.

Problem is, the data tested would have to be the data presented in another place and time with an entirely different set of results possible.  Not that those results first studied and produced are wrong or false, just those statistics produced from the test will always be produced in a different way you are trying to replicate the same results or method applied.

It would be the same as you taking Car A and racing it against Car B in a straight line, say for half a mile, under the same conditions in two different places.  With supposedly everything the same, no real skill needed by the drivers except to steer straight and hold the gas pedal to the floor, you will still produce different results an unknown amount of times.

So, simply following another persons test results with visions to capitalize and be guaranteed to win, are totally wrong and impossible.

There are what I call the 3 Ts.  Which are, what fuels the subject matter when you or someone else takes those test results and Tweaks, Twists and Turns them around and adds false positives and other material or ideas to them.  Then many read that very thing and hope to find that system that is a mechanical schedule to win hand after hand after hand.  Often doing more damage to the lay person than if he did not believe in such foolish fiction of systematic gambling visions.

There are so many other things can and do help players that one can devote his time to Tweak, Twist and Turn to his own advantage.

Wise Up and Win!  Thanks, Alrelax. 

Players tend to be heavier and grouping up and repeating in the beginning, in my opinion during the first third of the shoes that they do it in.

Players more grouped up together than Bankers do.

Watch for bead plate consistency.

While there are 0,1,2,3 ties, which are low ties, indication the presentments to be strong and consistent in whatever the shoe is producing for hands 15 or so through 50.

Fortune 7 will cut to the player the highest majority of times.

When there is a multiple heavy player group or streak it will end with a Fortune 7 being produced the highest majority of times.

Do not focus on could or would, focus more on what the shoe is actually producing and what the presentments are, look forward to repeat short amount of times rather than the continual and repetitive wish.

 Perception in the game of Baccarat

A huge, deep and important subject in relation to gambling.  Most people will overlook it, not consider it or pay very little value to this extremely important subject.

Perception Equals Projection

Things are not always as they seem.  I am referring to reality, facts and the norm.  Not just in gambling, but in most things-but for sake of simplicity, I will stick to gambling with this.  Marketers, Casinos, Casino Hosts, Gambling Junket Operators, System Inventors and Sellers and everyone trying to sell something or convince the gambler of something, rely on this very thing to make you see things the way they want you to see them.  And almost every single time, those things will not be in your favor or within the complete set of factual reality.  It will almost every time, benefit those people and their agenda rather than the player.  Of course, after all, it is just business. 

You can meet someone and they can tell you everything you want to hear without any truth.  There are no rules, regulations or laws (at least in the USA) saying that an entity selling something has to advertise, disclose and divulge the real truth about what they are selling or providing with anything to do along side of gambling.  I am not talking about pharmaceutical drugs, item or food products, I am talking about gambling, systems, gambling tutors, methods, junket trips, etc., etc., and so on.  Those types of people can give off any perception they want. 

Here, let me break it down for you.  The world we see is generally a reflection of who we are and what we believe.  The self-fulfilling prophecy lays at the foundation of this exact concept.  A statement that alters actions, therefore becomes truth to the person at the receiving end of it.  I have said in the past and I will repeat it once again.  Someone that thinks their night is going to play out terribly will subconsciously change their actions so that this prediction is fulfilled by their very own actions!  Often the way we perceive gambling is not reality, it is perception.  Then our perception is colored by how we want it rather than simply the way it is.   

The key to proper perception in gambling, IMO, would be to include remaining completely conscious of the fact that perception does influence your wagering and desires while playing.  Take that sentence/statement I just wrote any way you would like.  But, if you look at that statement with a complete open and neutral mind frame, you will have to agree with what I just wrote.  Example, if you say all side wagers such as the 3-Card 8-9 paying 200 to 1 or the 3-Card Fortune 7 paying 40 to 1 are sucker bets and convince yourself of that very thing, you will not wager those.  Then you just happen to be sitting at a baccarat shoe where two 3-Card 8-9 hands are presented as well as 6 or 7 Fortune 7s, etc.  While your perception of those side bets convinced yourself of the casino having the upper hand and you would lose your bets, you did not wager on any of them.  Meanwhile, other players won tens of thousands of dollars with very little invested in the risk.

Again, and on the other hand, the perception of those players that won thousands and thousands of dollars with those side bets, might allow their perception to get out of control and believe that they now have the power to win and win and win and keep winning with those very same wagers.  Same thing with believing in streaks or alternating chops, etc., etc.

So, what I am trying to say is that perception drives the players behavior, desires and thoughts with most all wagering.  Sitting there at a casino and air-betting or mind-wagering or whatever you might label it, and winning wagers without actually having your chips out there, will only alter your perception and what you should actually be considering and believing.  I hope that is simple enough to understand because I really do feel that is the way it is after so many years of witnessing the good and the bad at the tables.

When the truth is blurred by misinformation and misnomers and then you believe in those very things, perception becomes reality and all is lost.  Period! What people perceive is going to be what they believe.  And that is based on what they visually see and what they hear at that instant time.  Both of those will then translate into what they will think, equaling their perception.

Is there a defense?  Is there a way around not getting sucked in?  Most all of the time you cannot control what happens at the baccarat table, but you can always control your reaction.  I am not talking about high-fiving or shouting for a monkey and getting one, I am referring to believing that you have the power to control, decipher and schedule wagers that the shoe will configure to rather than your wagering configuring to the shoe"s presentments.  Remember that.

Change the way you look at the presentments of the shoe and what it is actually doing, rather than what it should or could be doing.  Then maybe the presentments will change in your vision.  SHOULD and COULD means nothing in great baccarat play.  However, what the shoe is doing is what you need to be aligned with.  That is factual and probably the strongest trigger to get you on the positive side rather than the negative side of the game.

Falling prey to false perception, false illusion and the many fallacies of the game are all so visually pretty and mouth watering at times, but your perception will work against you each and every session for the greatest part or at least, for the most important part of it anyway.   

Think what you will, but perception is a HUGE part of the game of baccarat.     

I was walking by the baccarat pit last night and low and behold, Brownie gets up and tells everyone, be right back--need to use the restroom really quick.  Another player is walking down the aisle, Juneberry.  Brownie and Juneberry make eye contact and give each other that secret organization of professional gambler's acknowledgment; two quick bows of the head followed by the right eye being blinked 3 times and a tug on each of their left ears.  Brownie and Juneberry go way back, but that is a story for another time.

Brownie gets back to the baccarat table and becomes enraged.  Seems they did not wait for him and 2 Fortune 7 wins and 2 six-six tie hands all came out in the past 8 hands that Brownie was gone during.  Of course, those are Brownie's favorite side wagers, each paying a nice 40 to 1 return.

Brownie pulls up his chair to the table and places his wager on the Players side.  Everyone else is on the Bankers side.  The dealer slides the Players 2 cards face down to Brownie on the table and Brownie peeks at each of them.  Announces that one is a monkey and the other one is a 3-line card.  Of course, Brownie is whispering 8-8-8-8, come on 8, give me another pip, make this 7 an 8.  Finally, Brownie flips over the 8.  Brownie props himself up in his chair, pointing at his $900.00 wager and telling the rest of the people how smart he really is.

The dealer slides the 2 Bankers side cards to the highest wagering woman that just happens to be seated next to Brownie.  She peeks and peeks and peeks.  Finally, Brownie says, so whatcha got big shot?  And the woman says, a monkey and a 4-line card.  Another person also wagering on the Bankers side takes his right hand and scoops it into the imaginary magical dust bowl and then reaches over and rubs his thumb and first 2 fingers together over the 4-line card, citing 9-9-9-9-9.  Please get rid of one of the pips and make it a 9.  Brownie is like, WTF man!  Seriously, stop with the shenanigans and the idiotic gestures man!  Play right!!!, he says.  The guy that sprinkled the magical dust on the card, is now starring at Brownie and nodding his head, blinking his right eye and tugging on his ear.  Brownie can not believe it.  Brownie is thinking to himself, how did someone so stupid and pretentious make it into the all-time worldwide society of professional gamblers?  The woman flips over a 9 and Brownie's face changes.

So, Brownie speaks up, WTF I can not even win with a natural 8!  So, Brownie places his next wager on the Banker side and everyone looks at each other and places their wagers on the Players side.  So, Brownie thinks to himself for a few seconds and pulls his wager down to the Players side as well.  Everyone else looks at each other and engages in a little Southeast Asian dialog and every single wager gets moved back to the Bankers side, except for Brownies of course.  Brownie says, I will show you, I will show each of you that I have the power and the ability to read the random presentments of the shoe, it is not science or mathematical.  So, the woman that flipped the 9 card asks Brownie, so then what is it?  Brownie says, it is a natural gift from someone I met in the mountains while downhill 70% grade world champion skiing doing around 130 to 150 MPH and instilling in me a power that makes Voodoo appear to be lame and outdated.

The cards come out.  The dealer slides the 2 Players side cards once again to Brownie.  Brownie peeks and peeks and peeks.  This time Brownie announces that he has a 3-line card and a 1-line card.  Brownie is whispering 6 and 3, then whispering 7 and 2, then whispering 8 and an Ace.  Finally, Brownie flips over an 8 and a 2 card.  Snickers and laughter come from the Asians sitting there.  One of the Asian just took a sip of coffee and a few bubbles came out of his nose as well.  Brownie is like, man wipe your nose, that is absolutely disgusting, having your snot drip onto the felt!  Seriously bro, nasty.  Then the dealer slides the 2 Bankers cards to the same woman that flipped the natural 9 the pervious hand.

The woman is saying, 2 four-line cards.  She turns one longways and starts to peel it back and the guy that sprinkled the magical dust onto the previous one, was like; Wait!, Wait!, Wait! And Brownie was like saying, stop the unintelligent and insane magical dust sprinkling please, play right.  And the guy goes, okay Brownie, so you want me to just stare at the cards and tell you what each one is based on my ability to read random events?  And Brownie says, do what you want bro, you are whacked out of your mind anyways.

So, the guy reaches over and sprinkles another application of magical dust onto the card the woman is about to peel back.  Sprinkle, Sprinkle, Sprinkle.  The guy is actually saying the word SPRINKLE, as he is doing it.  The woman turns to Brownie, nods her head twice, blinks her eye 3 times and tugs the heck out of her ear.  The dealer is saying, what am I involved in a circus, a LaLa Land dream or what?  The woman looks back to her card and flips it, it was a 10.  Brownie breaks out in a laugh as the woman is dead on serious and starts peeling the second one back.  The guy says once again; Wait! Wait! Wait!  Once again, the guy begins to sprinkle and sprinkle and sprinkle his invisible magical dust onto the second card.  So, Brownie says, how come your magical dust did not work on the first card if it is real?  And the guy answers Brownie, because I did not apply enough of it.  But I got that under my wing now, watch this.  And the guy sprinkles and sprinkles and sprinkles and sprinkles.  The woman peeks and peeks and peeks and peels and peels and peels the card back.  She flops a 9 and everyone turns to Brownie.  The woman says, so Brownie what happened?     

Once again, Brownie shoves up his remaining chips, well over $2,000.00 on the Bankers side and announces the Banker will repeat, has to repeat.  Everyone else is citing a cut, a cut to the opposite side, the Players side.  The rest of the table places all their wagers on the Players side.  Brownie then reaches over to his wager stack and slides it down to the Players side.  Everyone reaches in and removes their wagers.  The woman turns back to Brownie, why did you move your wager down to where we were at?  Brownie answers, it is a free country and I can do what I please, okay?  She says to Brownie, it is not fair you are giving us bad luck.  Brownie says, impossible baccarat does not work that way.  The cards are already predetermined and preset to come out the way they will, I or you cannot change the outcome of what is waiting.  They all turn to one another and laugh and laugh and laugh.  Finally, they tell the dealer to go ahead and deal, they are all staying out of the hand.  Brownie laughs.  The dealer slides Brownie the 2 cards for the Players and Brownie tells the dealer to open the Bankers cards first.  The woman is saying that she knows that the Bankers side has a natural 9 and Brownie laughs once again.  The dealer flops a 6 and a 3.  Brownie gets real quite and the smile falls from his face.  Brownie flops two monkeys.  The lady turns back to Brownie and thanks him like 5 times.  Brownie tells her to shut up, please just shut up!

Brownie pulls 2 purple chips from a previous win he stashed away and puts those in front of himself.  Everyone else wagers on the Banker for a repeat.  Brownie pushes both his purple chips up on the Bankers side also.  The guy turns to Brownie and says, we will all stay on the Banker but you have to support us with the magical dust I will sprinkle on the cards.  Brownie says, you only have $800.00 or so on your wager and I have more, I get the cards, so no magical dust fruitcake.  Plains and simple.  The woman next to Brownie picks up her $750.00 wager and stacks it on the guys wager and they all look at Brownie and shrug their shoulders.  Brownie pulls his wager down to the Players side and says, go ahead and use your magical dust, you guys are all certified fruitcakes anyway.

The dealer deals the cards.  The Players cards are pushed to Brownie.  Brownie peeks and peeks and peeks.  Then Brownie takes his right hand, dips it in the imaginary magical dust bowl and sprinkles and sprinkles and sprinkles the face down cards.  Brownie says, I had two 2-line cards, the magical dust I sprinkled will make me have a 4 and a 5 card, you will see.  Then Brownie flops one and it is a 5 card.  Brownie then sprinkles and sprinkles and sprinkles more magical dust.  He flops a second 5 card.  Everyone breaks out laughing and Brownie tells them to all shut up!  The woman asks Brownie, what happened?  She then said, you must have used the wrong magical dust Brownie.  The woman gets the cards past to her by the guy with the highest wager and she peeks and peeks and peeks and peeks.  She turns to Brownie and says a one-line card and a 3-line card.  Brownie says, yeah right---no problem you got a 7 and a 3 or an 8 and a 2.  No problem.  She flops the first one, an 8.  Then she sprinkles some magical dust on the other card face down.  She flops a 3.  Brownie laughs and laughs and laughs.  The dealer slides Brownie his 3rd card.  Brownie peeks and peeks and peeks.  Brownie smiles and say he has a 3-line card.   

Brownie peeks and peeks and peeks, peels and peels and peels and flops an 8.  Brownie says, there beat that and breaks out laughing and physically patting himself on the back.  The dealer slides the Bankers 3rd card to the woman and she then slides it to the guy with the largest chip stack.  He peeks and peeks and peeks.  The guy slowly reaches across to the table right in front of Brownie and dips his hand into the invisible and imaginary magical dust bowl.  The guy says, I rather have your magical dust for this one instead of mine, I just feel yours is spot on and real.  Brownie tells the guy he is whacked out of his mind and how much of a fruitcake he is.  The guy says out loud, I have a 3-line card, one change to lose, one change to tie and one chance to win.  The woman turns and says, use more magical dust, sprinkle more and make that baby an 8 please!  The guy sprinkles and sprinkles and sprinkles and sprinkles.  The guy calls the pit boss over and talks in Southeast Asian to her and asks her to sprinkle some more dust on the card.  The pit boss looks at everyone and shrugs her shoulders and everyone except Brownie is egging her on to do it.  She looks at Brownie and asks if it is okay with him as well.  Brownie says to go right ahead and calls them all fruit cakes.  The pit boss sprinkles and sprinkles and sprinkles the imaginary magical dust on the non-disclosed card.  The guy peels it back and says it is at least a 7.  Flips the card around and starts to peel the opposite end and flops it over right in front of Brownie.  It was an 8!

Brownie got up and left.  Brownie was mumbling out loud how those small bites from the better looking trends really suck.  Everyone waves bye bye to Brownie and the game goes on without him.  As Brownie is making his way to the exit, he sees a winter display near the front doors.  Win a gift certificate for snow skiing clothes and skies at our gift shop, enter today.  Brownie thinks to himself, Boy O Boy, if those people only knew I used to ski like 150 MPH down 70 to 90% grades in world championship ski competition where only 3 or 4 or 5 people in the entire world could accomplish such feats, they would have relaxed a bit on the magical dust thing and let me win. 

Gobbledy Gook and BlaBlaBla Mistruths-Drama-and Made Up Garbage Appearing Online

Causes and Effects Resulting in Bad Circumstances to the Player

I will give you the punch line first here:  That people tend to seek information that aligns with their views.  In some form, fashion or other means, I do wholeheartedly believe that we are all guilty of this at times.  The problem being on message boards, a handful of members will blast the majority of others with a repetitive and usually challenging statement with zero or very little facts, research or experiences, just a statement to cause drama and upset.  Period.  No other reason other than the selfishness and audience stealing desire of the poster coming on the scene to disrupt a member's thread.  Again, Period. No matter the original author's purpose, points or how much time and trouble they put into the original posting to help make a community.  Unlike a real classroom or seminar setting, where an actual challenge will come about and constructive and real pros and cons are cited and discussed with ample time for questions and answers, etc.  But on message boards, a group of the stronger and self-proclaimed masters or professional gamblers, usually take hold and attempt domination.  Moderation will generally bring on a citation by those offenders of the Admin and the Moderators stopping free speech, etc.  Then the vicious cycle begins.  Then sides are taken and the personalities overrule the chance to share info, data and really useful research and real-life experiences.

And what are the consequences? Why will the players hurt themselves the highest majority of the times?  Because, they will convince themselves that erroneous and bad information they are tailoring to themselves will successfully assist them to accomplish their goals of winning large sums of money and no matter what or how they attempt to adjust, they are truly fighting a losing battle.  They started with the wrong equipment and tools concerning the gambling war chest IMO, they believe in false agendas, faked info and stories, etc., that add so much weight and burden to their gaming attempts.  Therefore, when the player finally uncovers the truth, he lost virtually all of his capital, personal and business relationships, along with burning himself out past redemption the highest majority of the times.  Great for the casino, great for your casino host, great for the loan sharks, great for the pawn shops, great for everyone involved in the industry except for yourself.  PLEASE NOTE:  You do not have to believe me, you do not have to follow me, you do not have to find validity in anything I say or do, in fact why not just believe someone that is an ex-world class skier mastering 100 plus MPH 70% or so downgrades or others claiming to have gambled around the world and constantly posts pictures of on-line scoreboards with 5 to 7 shoes of losing statistics and a final one each day where he finally recouped all of his losses and profited for the day?

Onward.  Let me explain.  Why the rise and change since the 70's through the mid-90's?  Even bring that out a bit past 2000.  Because of the internet and making money, that's why.  Coupled with the other non-sense with social media, message boards and other internet forums used for the wrong reasons.

"Truth is no longer dictated by authorities, teachers, professors, and people with a lot of real-life experiences and those that really have a good-hearted desire to help others share their own school of hard knocks.  But is networked by peers with lots of other reasons, rather than those I just laid out.  For every fact there is a counter fact and all these counter facts and facts look identical online, which is confusing to most people."  There is your reasoning, pick it apart, agree with it or not.  But, IMO, it is 100% spot on, without one reservation whatsoever!

And misinformation is dangerous, REAL DANGEROUS, especially in gambling because, misinformation is not like a plumbing problem you fix. It is a social condition, like crime, that you must constantly monitor and adjust to not knowing what has actually worked or what has not.  If you do not know, you simply will most likely get hurt, and in gambling that means a real hurt, the loss of your money.

The sad part is, you will not be able to figure it out conclusively, what exactly is real and what exactly is made up or lies or just told with motives not in your best interest.   For someone really trying to learn something within the message boards, it causes a great deal of confusion and needless drama--sometimes by mistake and sometimes intentionally.  IMO, there is not much more of an explanation that just that. Correct me if I am wrong!

Their reasoning revealed a wide range of opinions about the nature of these threats and the most likely solutions required to resolve them. But the overarching and competing themes were clear:  Those who do not think things will improve felt that humans mostly shape technology advances to their own, not-fully-noble purposes and that bad actors with bad motives will thwart the best efforts of technology innovators to remedy today's problems.

And those who are most hopeful believed that technological fixes can be implemented to bring out the better angels guiding human nature.  Yeah right!  Sure thing and the rich and the wealthy will wake up every day at 4 AM and head out to their local restaurant and stay there all day and pay for everyone's food that cannot afford to eat, etc.

ADD THE FOLLOWING:

The fake news ecosystem preys on some of our deepest human instincts:  Respondents said humans, 'primal quest for success and power,  their survival, instinct, will continue to degrade the online information environment in the next decade'.  They predicted that manipulative actors will use new digital tools to take advantage of humans--inbred preference for comfort and convenience and their craving for the answers they find in reinforcing echo chambers.  Sorry, but in reality, it is like that in all facets of business.  It is a business thing, not out of the goodness of everyone's hearts.  I am a realist but the fake news thing is not at all hard to figure out.  It is about business and money, no matter if politics are involved.  Fact. Period.

Our brains are not wired to contend with the pace of technological change:  These respondents said the rising speed, reach and efficiencies of the internet and emerging online applications will magnify these human tendencies and that technology-based solutions will not be able to overcome them. They predicted a future information landscape in which fake information crowds out reliable information. Some even foresaw a world in which widespread information scams and mass manipulation cause broad swathes of public to simply give up on being informed participants in civic life.

Technology can help fix these problems: These more hopeful experts said the rising speed, reach and efficiencies of the internet, apps and platforms can be harnessed to rein in fake news and misinformation campaigns. Some predicted better methods will arise to create and promote trusted, fact-based news sources.

It is also human nature to come together and fix problems:  The hopeful experts in the internet and AI industries, took the view that people have always adapted to change and that this current wave of challenges will also be overcome. They noted that misinformation and bad actors have always existed but have eventually been marginalized by smart people and processes. They expect well-meaning actors will work together to find ways to enhance the information environment. They also believe better information literacy among citizens will enable people to judge the veracity of material content and eventually raise the tone of discourse.

Here, remember Glen said this: "Misinformation is not like a plumbing problem you fix. It is a social condition, like crime, that you must constantly monitor and adjust to. Since as far back as the era of radio and before, as Winston Churchill said, 'A lie can go around the world before the truth gets its pants on'."

Michael J. Oghia, an author, editor and journalist based in Europe, said he expects a worsening of the information environment due to five things:  1) The spread of misinformation and hate;  2) Inflammation, sociocultural conflict and violence; 3) The breakdown of socially accepted/agreed-upon knowledge and what constitutes 'fact'; 4) A new digital divide of those subscribed (and ultimately controlled) by misinformation and those who are 'enlightened' by information based on reason, logic, scientific inquiry and critical thinking; 5) Further divides between communities, so that as we are more connected we are farther apart. And many others.' I dug that paragraph out I saved from Michael Oghia, it is spot on and so amazingly correct IMO.

Please take a breath, please read the following carefully:

You need to really sit down and say, who is the author, what is his/her purpose of writing what I am reading?  Why should I believe what is written?  Why would this person say negative, derogatory, hateful, vindictive, humiliating, and/or chastising things or anything of the like against the other person!  Say those things.

While propaganda and the manipulation of the public via falsehoods is a tactic as old as the human race, many of these experts predicted that the speed, reach and low cost of online communication plus continuously emerging innovations will magnify the threat level significantly.

'The internet is the 21st century's threat of a 'nuclear winter,' and there is no equivalent international framework for nonproliferation or disarmament. The public can grasp the destructive power of nuclear weapons in a way they will never understand the utterly corrosive power of the internet to civilized society, when there is no reliable mechanism for sorting out what people can believe to be true or false.?

What actually works in a casino?  What actually worked on line gaming in 2,000 spins you had to consecutively wager on to profit by a guaranteed 5 units?  Etc., Etc., Etc.  You think AI can provide the answers.  Someday it might.  And when that day comes the game itself will somehow be changed.  But without everyone understanding AI and everything along with it, the internet with carrying the messages will still hurt the person reading and interpreting them, with their attempts to apply same within the casino to make money.  That is the absolute sad bottom line.

Problem being, more and more, history is being written, rewritten and corrected, because more and more people have the ways and means to do so. Therefore, there is ever more information that competes for attention, for credibility and for influence.

The other huge problem along the same lines is, the audiences typically are looking for information that fits their belief systems, so it is a really tough problem.

Humans are by nature selfish, tribal, gullible convenience seekers who put the most trust in that which seems familiar.

It comes down to motivation: There is no market for the truth. The public is not motivated to seek out verified, vetted information. They are happy hearing what confirms their views. And people can gain more creating fake information (both monetary and in notoriety) than they can keeping it from occurring.  I am sorry I am publishing this really, because so many of you will blame me for things that actually happen, but all I am doing in reality, is pointing out the book, the covers and the dust jacket.  Each of you are filling in the words on the internet, in your own book, on my website BetSelection, etc., etc.  That is where so many of you are confused and stay confused.

As a group, humans are 'stupid'. It is 'group mind' or a 'group phenomenon' or, as George Carlin said, "Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups." Then, you have Kierkegaard, who said, "People demand freedom of speech as a compensation for the freedom of thought which they seldom use."  And finally, Euripides said, "Talk sense to a fool and he calls you foolish".  If you cannot think and reason, gambling and the casino is not for you.  I wholeheartedly promise you that.

People on systems like Facebook are increasingly forming into 'echo chambers' of those who think alike. They will keep unfriending those who don't, and passing on rumors and fake news that agrees with their point of view the exact same as we do on gambling message boards and forums, no different!

Scott Shamp, a dean at Florida State University, commented, "Too many groups gain power through the proliferation of inaccurate or misleading information. When there is value in misinformation, it will rule."  But with gambling, internet message boards, forums, etc., it will still be burdened upon the receiver to deceiver what is actually right or wrong or what can or cannot apply to his needs and situations.  If he cannot do that, he will only hurt himself and continue the money loss.

Facts, truths, I will take my cash and wager on that, etc., some things are not black and white; for other situations, facts brought up to come to a conclusion are different that other facts used by others in a situation. Each can have real facts, but it is the facts that are gathered that matter in coming to a conclusion; who will determine what facts will be considered or what is even considered a fact?

It will certainly mean a greater degree of misinformation in the public internet sector and that is exactly what has been happening.  In general, not just in gambling message boards, but across the whole Internet thing.  It is easy to write, no one to check, re check and source everything.  Good and bad.  Good when everything is accurate, truthful and justified for its purpose.  Bad when it is motivated by not so good motives and reasonings.

Before, it took some kind of money and time as a general rule to get your word out, today all of which is changed.  And that is exactly my point. On my forum Betselection or otherwise.  Same, same.  Period. 

In regards to a gambling system published for whatever reason on the internet or a message board on a forum.  'It is too easy to create fake facts, too labor-intensive to check and too easy to fool checking algorithms.'  Why?  Because there are many alternative motives and for the regular consumer that is just using the message board to learn and gain knowledge in an innocent way, he himself better be extra cautious and diligent. Worse and worse every day for the newcomers.  I am sure that statement will get me even more haters and enemies than I already have!  But I stand by it and love the challenges of those newcomers and their fake facts and dreamed up blablabla.

You better read the following and apply it, because it is the best truth about the internet in a short 3 sentences that I ever read.  1) 'Artificial intelligence that will supplament human judgment is being pursued aggressively by entities in the Silicon Valley and elsewhere.  2) Algorithmic solutions to replacing human judgment are subject to hidden bias and will ultimately fail to accomplish this goal. They will only continue the centralization of power in a small number of companies that control the flow of information. 3) The 'wild west' state of the internet will not be permitted to continue by those with power, as we are already seeing with increased national pressure on providers/companies by a range of means from law and regulation to moral and consumer pressures.

The people that really succeed or actually get something out of all this internet movement are; humans that are adaptive. When faced with novel predatory phenomena, counter-forces emerge to balance or defeat them.  But each one has to decide what are right, correct, lies, mistruths, or just plain does not apply to their purpose within gambling, the casino, baccarat, etc.  And that is tough for most everyone or just plain anti productive and time consuming.  We are at the beginning of a large scale negative impact from the undermining of a social sense of reliable fact. Counter-forces are already emerging. The presence of large scale 'landlords' controlling significant sections of the ecosystem (e.g., Google, Facebook) aids in this counter-response.  And those very things, Google, Facebook, etc., has overwhelming mentality implements into the minds of people like you and you carry it into gambling, the casino and online forums.

In reality and subjective view, IMO, I would have to say, this whole internet thing with all its content, direction and influence can never entirely be eliminated, but it can be managed.

The biggest risk, as with many things, is that narrow self-interest stops people from effectively collaborating.  And that will happen across the entire internet, whether it is a gambling message board forum or a news outlet.

As we understand more about digital misinformation, we will design better tools, policies and opportunities for collective action.  But IMO, there are huge amounts of work to do and that will take some time.  What a portion of society is ready for are the airbags, the safety belts and the many other features an auto of today needs and can support.  However, the largest amount of society is not ready for it or even can sustain it with the knowledge and desire.  Those are the ones that suffer from the results of the lies, the mistruths, the self serving dialogs and everything else on the internet, etc.  And what I just said, Glen said that is, that very thing is happening right now on Betselction forum.  And all other forums, IMO anyways.

You cannot and will never, machine-learn our way out of this disaster, which is actually a perfect storm of poor civics knowledge and poor information literacy, plain and simple.

>>>PLEASE READ TWICE<<<:  You cannot and will never solve your gambling problems or really find your gambling advantages via technology.  Reason being, you have to have the background in order to deceiver the wrong and the right or actually if finding the right is even possible.  It still and I do believe, will always take Blood, Sweat & Tears with a bunch of Hard Knocks in order to figure it all out.  Machines, the internet, the AI and all those rolled up and taken into consideration, can only assist oneself at best.  A gambler still needs good judgement, no make that, superior judgement!  Otherwise he has nothing to base his decisions on and nothing to measure them against.  And that is where so many argue, internet fight, disagree and get into trouble attempting to do so.

Remember newspapers?  Remember magazines.  I used to read them religiously, why?  Because everything was double and triple sourced, checked and rechecked and written by journalists that went out and wrote what they found, without the 90% plus alternative motives what is happening these days.  Reducing 'fake news' requires a profession whose members share a commitment to getting it right. That, in turn, requires a source of money to pay such professional journalists. Advertising used to provide newspapers with money to pay such people. That money is drying up, and it seems unlikely to be replaced within the next decade.  Those are facts, face it or not.  That is what is happening today in 2019.  In newspapers as well as on the internet, because of the internet.

And, what does an industry top professional say in regards to just that?   "The problem with online news is structural: There are too few gatekeepers, and the internet business model does not sustain quality journalism. The reason is simply that advertising revenue has been untethered from news production."  And, IMO once again, it filters right down to and replicates itself with internet message boards.

Many of those experts said the flaws in human nature and still-undeveloped norms in the digital age are the key problems that make users susceptible to false, misleading and manipulative online narratives. One potential remedy those respondents suggested was a massive compulsory crusade to educate all in digital-age information literacy. Such an effort, some said, might prepare more people to be wise in what they view/read/believe and possibly even serve to upgrade the overall social norms of information sharing.  I totally agree.

From Harvard University on Internet & Society, 'False information' intentionally or inadvertently so, "is neither new nor the result of new technologies. It may now be easier to spread to more people more quickly, but the responsibility for sifting facts from fiction has always sat with the person receiving that information and always will."

What is actually happening?  'Human beings are losing their capability to question and to refuse. Young people are growing into a world where those skills are not being taught.'

The bottom line is, or at least mine is, relying on algorithms and automated measures will result in various unwanted consequences.  You can refute that, but you seriously have no leg to stand on because you cannot prove otherwise, only say it in words.

Not just the internet thing we now have as a way of life and communications, but most things in general, Ignorance breeds frustration and "a growing fraction of the population has neither the skills nor the native intelligence to master deceiving what is factual, reality, historical or correct but been replaced by technological AI that has been proven".  And, therein lies so much of the problem that it is scary, at least to me it is.

Jim Warren, an internet pioneer and open-government/open-records/open-meetings advocate, said, "False and misleading information has always been part of all cultures (gossip, tabloids, etc.). Teaching judgment has always been the solution, and it always will be. I (still) trust the longstanding principle of free speech: The best cure for 'offensive' speech is MORE speech. The only major fear I have is of massive communications conglomerates imposing pervasive censorship."  And, therefore there has to be limits as to what can be, should be, has to be, what should not be and what has to prevail in print.  Whether we are talking about a message board, a magazine, a newspaper, the TV News or anything else.  IMO, the problem with a media such as BetSelction Message Forum, is that we are all in the one room together.  The 21 year old with limited knowledge and experience as well as that hard core 60 year old person that has a ton of information, experience and knowledge that others could very well learn from.  However, there are also those others, that have the desire to entice, bump, shake and only cause problems to hamper a community from actually all rallying together.  While those latter types are the minority in almost all cases, they certainly cause the majority to pull back, reserve themselves as well as limiting their participation due to the infliction of chastising, humiliation and other verbal abuse that the majority rather not have to be dealing with.  Quote me on that one please!

And as always, one thing that has never really changed is, the responsibility is with the person who is seeking the results, stories, data and trying to get information on what is going on.  And that is going to hold down the successful use of the message boards for quite some time.  The other thing on the message boards that makes it so difficult, IMO, is the declassification of the members knowledge, experience, and ability.  Everyone is within one room like I said.  While that is fine for many, many really do not desire to teach gambling 101, every time they sign on to check for content, etc.  And those that are just coming on board, they have a ton of questions and little answers.  Fitting in is tough to do, in so many situations.  Couple that, with the bothersome 5 or 7 or 10 members almost all boards have, that are only present to stir the pot, cause trouble, show off, contribute nothing, challenge most everything with their expression of free speech, etc., and it brings down the overall good purpose and great melting pot that most of us really do desire.

The question that I will close with is: In the next few years, will trusted methods emerge to block false narratives and allow the most accurate information to prevail in the overall information on message boards? Or will the quality and veracity of information online deteriorate due to the spread of unreliable, sometimes even dangerous, socially bias and outright lies because of those peddling their commercial endeavors as well as those that have no other purpose except to cause disruption?

In classrooms, seminars and workshops of the conventional and classical kinds, we do not have to endure the anonymity of everyone refusing to divulge who they are or where they live or why they are present.  As well, the class does not have to tolerate the aggressive class clown, the 2 or 3 with their disruptive and annoying behavior, as they will be dealt with immediately in most all cases.  Finally, the class as a whole or at least the majority of it, will be able to actually apply themselves and gain back what they generally put forth.

And that my friend is old-school learning, gaining knowledge and experience from others to mold-shape and form for your own advantage!

Bringing it to the table......

In today"s world of automation, technology and "instant most everything', we are programmed or are programming ourselves, that the computer is correct.  But I am sorry.  Not that way with baccarat.  At times it might seem that way, but that would only be adding fuel onto a fire-type of outcome the majority of the times.

Today, more so than yesterday, the game has changed.  I contribute the changing of it to social beliefs and belief in computer generated modeling, etc.  Same as reading and attempting to learn about the game or expand one's knowledge about it.  So many will say; What is the point? What is the factual trigger?  What is the answer with definitive scheduling, etc., etc., and so on?

But really, most everyone has no time to study, read detailed articles, observe, experience, intern and perfect their game.  Only run the model and believe in whatever the outcome that is deduced down to a short play section spread out into the proverbial long-run by yet another computer module.

The difference comes forth in the way each of us wager and how we view exactly what the results brought us.  No matter what you believe in, no matter how you apply your buy-in or winnings and no matter what your stop-loss may or may not be; we will all have very different and unique triggers that are self-generated for one reason or another.

The 3 Terribles:

First Thing.  There is true belief from experience, proper application of buy-in and bankroll, and what each of us feels a profit should be or could be.  Second Thing.  There is the influence of what others/another is doing.  And that my friend, is powerful-extremely powerful in countless ways.  Be totally conscious of that very thing and use it or avoid it.  It is dangerous as it has the 'power' and tendency to charge a very well thought out, researched and refined wagering plan for anyone of us.  And the Third Thing, would be experimentation. Yes, to experiment and have our 'frame of minds' altered, etc.  Again, Be Careful!

And nothing works, works and works and keeps working.  Period.  Now, if you really desire to profit and profit nicely, you will need to concentrate on Consciousness, Sections & Turning Points, Level & Plateaus and Money Management Methods, which you have or should have developed by now.

You cannot always find what is happening at a baccarat table, jump in and profit.  That is the largest and most abused and destructive belief that countless people assume can always be done.  But it is there and it remains there.  Probably always will, because it makes for great copy and salesmanship to go along with people selling the things they try to in this field.   

Also, what is totally misunderstood IMO is, 'Risk Capital' or 'Buy-In' money.  Exactly what the two words mean at face value?  Risk, (a change of loss) and Capital (the amount of money you are willing to put up or are putting up).  Simple as that. But most people writing on the internet swear up and down as to how they employ stop loss and win stop to preserve their buy-in, which again, IMO will only hamper their chances of winning and hurt them, far greater than it could ever help them.

My own play is governed by the results of the presentments I am experiencing.  Not my desires, goals, possibilities or greed.  Sure, at times there are some overwhelming, 'door knockers'....  However, that is where the experience should come right back in and be present, known and overwhelming to yourself.  I have certainly found that setting whatever goal, is not the way that will produce the best wins.  Because we tend to rationalize out what should, what will, what must or what might happen.  Certainly, none of those have to come about while you are there playing.  But we justify our decisions and choices and only add huge amounts of frustration and complication to our instant decision-making process we are currently experiencing and practicing.

So, be conscious that you cannot work all 3 angles that baccarat does have, will seem right for the easy picking, as they say.  One, following your own protocols, beliefs and schedules.  Two, someone on a heater and following them, or someone on a losing streak and your desire to wager against them to capitalize, etc.  And three, experimentation and your own belief to convince yourself how stupid the casino is and how easy it is to finally get on the winning side and no one else can understand it all except for yourself.     

However, there are 7 things that will move you forward and allow yourself to play with advantages.

1)     Understanding and remaining fully conscious without getting sucked in, following, believing in and falling prey to others at the table or on the internet keeping yourself in absolute neutral reality enabling you to see more presentments in a clearer vision;

2)     Use Sections & Turning Points (to govern your wagering progressions and intensity);

3)     Be aware of your very own Levels & Plateaus (keeping on the edge of your seat for comfort and control, stopping points and toning it down or up after wins);

4)     Employing a Money Management Method including: Allocating wins into 1/3rd-1/3rd-1/3rd amounts; Positive Progressions; and 1 + 4 Side Parlays;

5)     Replenishing & Cancelling your Buy-In;

6)     Refusing to engage in additional Buy-Ins to continue a session;

7)     What Risk-Capital actually is and changing your frame-of-mind from buy-in to risk capital.

1)  Streaks;

2)  Doubles or Triples;

AND

3)  Chop-Chops.

There is nothing else, IMO. (That is referring to Banker and Player sides only in Mini or Midi Bac only, not Bad Beat Bac with some great side bets that can be extremely profitable under the right circumstances, but that is a whole other story in itself.)

Almost all lose their money playing because of their own mentality and greed.  Not much else really, although they will blame it on anything and everything else. 

A person cannot play to win all three.  It is impossible.  Say what you want, degrade, humiliate and chastise. But there is no way to capitalize with a mechanical system on all three. 

Streaks continue, doubles or triples are limited continuance and chops, will alternate.  Your mind, emotions and pocket are effected when you lose as well as win, losses happen and compound themselves each and every session. 

The other night there was 6 of us or so.  We picked and all agreed on 2 triggers within certain Sections that continually were presenting themselves.  We played them, they continued, we pumped it up when those came around and we did extremely well.  We played a few other things just to keep us in the game, warmed up and ready, lets say.  We toned it way down on the desires, the greed and the stupid mistake of attempt to change the shoe for something we thought would happen.

Paramount, is knowing and staying fully conscious of both your Level and your individual Plateau.  Again, paramount!

Kind of the same as knowing how to golf, having the equipment, playing and applying it all and getting in a get game versus knowing it all and playing stupid and falling prey to all the surrounding distractions and things we just knew we should not have engaged in--but did anyway.  No different.