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Messages - alrelax

#1066
Me, You & Them / Last night 9-12-19
September 12, 2019, 03:32:36 PM
Well, took part of the day off yesterday for a break with the 9-11 memorials.  Participated in the remembrance of all the emergency workers and civilians that perished that horrible day, 18 years ago.  Finished late around 10:00 PM or so.  Myself and H-Money went out to eat and then decided to go to the casino on the way to drop him off, before my ride home.

We got there around 1:00 AM.  Previous shoe was just ending.  H-Money buys in with $1,500.00.  He places $200.00 on the Banker first hand, wins and turns to me, I cut the shoe you seen that right?  I told him, slow down and play what you see.  So he tells me he is going to wager for doubles.  He wins the first 2 Bankers and then wins the following first 2 Players.  He flat bets the $200.00.  He follows his word and losses the 3 third repeating Player as he wagered for the cut to the Banker.  He then wagers for the second repeating Banker and losses that as well.  After the first Player which was a natural, another ball game game enters the picture. 

He said to me, the first hands were all naturals so far and I am sticking with the Player.  So, he wagers another $200.00 and wins the first Player.  Then I told him to do a (1 + 4 Side Parlay) that is my favorite when things get strong no matter the shoe presentments, etc., and he listened to me.  He wagered the same $200.00 on the Player and told me he was doing the (1 + 4 Side Parlay) as well.

Please Note:  I have written about my (1 +4 Side Parlay) wagers.  While I do not religiously wager consecutively with the Side Parlay Wager (normally skipping numerous hands being wagered with the other flat wager or positive progression, etc.,) I endorsed H-Money's ideology about doing the Side Parlay Wager repetitively as well because the Player side was so strong, etc.  So the old saying, when it is there and being presented, capitalize on it.   

He won the next four hands with an incredibly strong Player presentment each time.  No matter what the Player had, even 2 monkeys and the Banker have a 7, the Player would pull an 8 or a 9.  Another one was the Player having one and the Banker having a 7.  The Player pulls a 7.  The tie was a natural 9 tie as well.  So, he flat bets the $200.00 he was sticking with, shooting for a thousand to $1,500.00 profit and swore to walk away if reached.  He won every (1 + 4 Side Parlay) wager he made on top of the flat bet of $200.00.  So on the 5th hand he is clearing $3,000.00 extra on the (1 + 4 Side Parlay) wager.  He goes to a $400.00 wager and stops the (1 + 4 Side Parlay) wagering.  He wins the 6th and the 7th hands as well.  He sticks with the $400.00 flat bet and goes in with another $400.00 to start the (1 + 4 Side Parlaying) once again for the 8th hand.  The tie comes out, Natural 9-9 Tie.  He sticks with the same exact bet he had, while all the rest of the table is verbally citing, Banker strong and Tie Cuts, etc., etc.  He wins the 9th hand and is hyped up big time.  Now, the whole table was with their pure statistical garbage about no way for the streak to continue and Banker has to come out and time to cut again.  Almost every hand, everyone was wagering for that damned cut!  Almost no more over powering the shoe where all players group up and just smack the casino on those types of runs or even long chops (types of trends or patterns does not matter, just anything repeating itself with strong repetitive occurrence hand after hand).  But it is turning into a game of, that guy can not keep winning or it just has to cut, type of thinking hand after hand after hand.

H-Money leaves the wager out there and wins the next 3 hands as well, the 10th, 11th and 12th hands with the $400.00 out there as a flat bet as well as the (1 + 4 Side Parlay) he started again.  He wins them all for another $6,000.00 profit once he completed the 12th hand.   

So he completed 2 (1 + 4 Side Parlays) and his numerous flat bet wagers before it finally cut to Banker.  Cashed out and walked away.  We went back after about 15 hands or so after doing what we had to do.  It was all 1s and 2s.  People were winning one and losing 2 or winning 2 and then losing 2, etc. 

The bottom line, anything can happen at anytime.  But the easiest thing to smack the casino is to jump on and and stick with anything that is strong no matter what type of presentment trending that is.



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#1067
Alrelax's Blog / Re: 9-11-2001
September 12, 2019, 03:07:39 PM
Pictures from last night to honor the fallen members of my family on 9-11-2001.  Flags represented special meaning that were either on their caskets or in memorial that hung in my family members NYFD Station House. 

"Some gave everything and yet others gave their own life's to help other firefighters get out alive as well as civilians".

Some make fun of this stuff and yet others pick it apart for the political drama of it, but when you lose family members that were doing their job, all the media and picking apart by bystanders sucks!  Thank God some really do understand.  My little boy asked me the other day, "Daddy, why did people from our family go running into that building that was going to fall down and kill everyone"?


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#1068
Alrelax's Blog / Re: 9-11-2001
September 11, 2019, 04:44:45 PM
We put up the flag on the front of the truck and also the NYC Flag up top.  A uniform was put out to symbolize the fallen members of the service that gave their lives. 

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#1069
Alrelax's Blog / Re: 9-11-2001
September 11, 2019, 04:34:14 PM
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#1070
Alrelax's Blog / 9-11-2001
September 10, 2019, 03:06:24 PM
It is a tough day that rolls around every year.  For the past 18 years it has been real hard to deal with.

My three flags that I possess will be flown at various fire departments in honor or lost loved ones. 

One is a New York State Flag.
One is a New York City Flag.
One was airbrushed painted in honor of a family member. 

I will try to get some pictures tomorrow of them flying at the fire departments that i left them at yesterday.

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#1071
For the record, I have nothing against anyone.  However, some will twist and turn as well as copy and paste previous written threads and even edit some of those with their own additions or deletions to them.  And so the story goes on.

Before I purchased this website, Stephen was a subject matter here and discounted, verbalized and chastised many on this board including actual scorecards and scoreboards from real live B&M casinos and the comments from himself or his numerous sock-puppets were in attempt (IMO) to boast his own thoughts, ideas and commercial ventures for sale.

Kinds of the same thing happened with Mark AKA: Gizmotron, and his school tutor teachings, etc.  But things went personal with personal attacks and more.  Maybe I played into them, maybe those other members rolled with something I started.  I do not know.  But, Stephen did get extremely personal and vindictive.  Plus, he was clearly selling his books, etc.  As far as I know he would not even support this website with Vic at the time.

As far as 888 and those articles, I was also approached to co-market with them as well and for the few dollars possible, I declined.  They also offer to purchase for about $10.00 to $25.00 series of articles related to gaming that fit into their protocols and schedules, etc. 

On a side note, you will notice on most forums, gaming/gambling included, there will always be those that are A-Alpha and devote extensive time to writing, posting, copying and pasting and everything related.  Those will usually attempt to control and rule the board and any member or poster not in agreement with them will be ousted, humiliated, chastised and talked down on in the highest majority of instances.

I still say, if it does not interest you, you learn and find it interesting, you enjoy it and not necessarily endorse it, just are interested by it, read it and post and enjoy.  If not, whether the thread or a complete forum, just skip it and close the cover, the same as going to Barnes & Noble and checking out a book.  If you like it, buy it, if not do you really complain, write the author, chastise the store manager for selling it, write letters hatred and picket outside the store? 

Thanks, Alrelax, Glen.



#1072
Related But Not Related / Hold Up! Time Out!
September 07, 2019, 09:50:40 PM
LOL.  ROMAFL!  Classic, great scene from Do the Right Thing.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gLYTObRhcSY

Samuel Jackson won. ;)
Absolutely one of the best, love the guy!

Well one stereotype about Samuel Jackson is true...HE'S ALWAYS YELLING!!!!!!!!


Pretty much says it the way it is, was and always will be.  Quote from a Jewish Politician in Midtown Manhattan when quizzed about slavery and who put the money up for so many slave ships.  Usually it is the beast the roars the loudest, LOL.
#1073
Realism the way it is most of the times.  But not publicized and not brought into the mainstream media any longer because it is so against the leftist do gooders.  And by the way, that clip is not satire, it is reality.  Bed Stuy, Red Hook, South Bronx, Jerome Avenue, East New York, countless other sections.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OLdIKlXl3ZA
#1074
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8Xjr2hnOHiM&t=59s

And the comments.  P.S.:  For thsoe that copy and Paste and add things, the comments are on YouTube (A Public Site) LOL :)

""Hey....I Gots to know".....never gets old watching that moment. Proper English, LOL";

"Love how he is so chill with the whole thing. Like "Ah for chirst's sake, I was just enjoying my lunch when these punks showed up and bothered everyone."

"He's shooting robbers while still chewing his lunch. What a badass! Modern movies have nothing on Dirty Harry";

"The "punk" was played by Albert Popwell. He was in 5 Eastwood movies altogether:
The Enforcer, Sudden Impact, Magnum Force, Coogan's Bluff and Dirty Harry.";

"Too bad that ALbert Popwell became a crack dealer and fell into the down sides of his own people".

#1075
Alrelax's Blog / Re: Pure Reality
September 04, 2019, 03:40:45 PM
And just to refresh the memories of all the by passers and stop by type of people that are nosy, trolls and board of drama over at other websites where they attempt their form of control and bull-stuff, etc., a few got so pissed off when I actually supported the founder and person that formed this board.  When I posted what I sent him and encouraged others to do so, sometimes it worked and other times, like the last few times, a few got enraged and posted their derogatory comments. 

But fact remains, that they NEVER contributed to this board.  They vomit their hatred, they vomit their on-line drama and a bunch of gambling fallacies to the max!  And reality also proves and proved, that a few of them have actually posted such lengthy and volatile stuff on other message boards, which they used to complain my posts were lengthy and complicated.  ROMAFL to the max!  Does not matter if there is one or 1,000 members here, active or inactive.  Point remains the same, this board is open and will remain open and can be the base for anyone that desires a neutral gaming board base as long as people follow the rules of the board.

Reality remains, if you do not like it, enjoy it, learn from it, find it interesting, skip it--the same as you would in a book store, no darn different!  If you are going to chastise, humiliate, degrade, demean, make up fake news-events and histories of other members, go to Wizard of Odds, VMB or anyone of the other boards, Facebook, Twitter, etc., and do just that.   

Reality has proven that they resent anyone that is successful (no matter what level or magnitude of success that might be, or whatever the member is positively posting about) or has accomplished anything with casino wagering of any level.  Reality has also proven that they attack, berate and lie about other members.  The level of hatred and bitterness from within those, literally and physically spending hours upon hours of internet computer time to post hatred and as well as, their own utter infatuation and total consumption caused by either a Gambling board owner, Moderator or other member, is the most pitiful thing I have every witnessed!

However, Reality has proven just that! 


#1076
Many do not realize, but it is so true.  At the baccarat table, on the gambling forums and within life in general.

When you do well you become a sign of hope to the optimist, but to the pessimist, you represent the stink of their very own failure and mistakes.

Furthermore, those pessimists will swear up and down with great fury and sometimes convincing belief, spread that everything you have accomplished or discovered is really what led them to their downfall or mistakes. 
#1077
Dedicated also to the on-line know it all, that specializes in lies, YouTube, copy and paste and drama like a transsexual that was exposed to the straight world he once dominated, among many more traits and factual but worthless agenda to his life of on line gaming for trivial amounts of money (if any) as well as his full time career of message board posting,  Love you bro, 'seriously I do' just about the same as the number 6 on a fast food menu cooked in old fryer oil about 10 mins from closing time.  I might actually love the #6 a tad bit more.

ROMAFL!


P.S.:  I do not have to name him, he knows who he is.
  8) :nod: :whistle:
#1078
Helping to Define Presentments, Models & BetSelection Wagering, PART 2

Here, this might explain it to the baccarat players that have actually been around long enough to lose, to win and to have been sucked in by the countless distractions and influences that exist at the live baccarat tables in brick and mortar casinos. 

It is certainly possible to be absolutely certain ... and absolutely wrong?   Correct operations upon mistaken premises do not generate useful results. 1+1=2 only if we agree on definitions of those symbols and their interpretation which make that a true statement; if we do, then it is true by definition within that system.  And hence, the systems, explanations, and computer-generated baccarat test models that are endorsed or explained to win a greater amount of times than they will lose.  Usually by those claiming to bring large bankrolls to hold your ground, play long enough without stopping or another fallacy somewhere along those couple of examples. 

We know that math is self-consistent, and we know it produces results which make useful predictions about the real world, and we find ways to refine it when if falls short, such as complex numbers...such as multiple columns and elaborate ways of waiting for a wager if this or that happens, or claiming to stick to a mechanical scheduled wager following events that are yet to unfold, etc., etc.   And that my friends as much truth as science ever offers because those posters are taking something that is basically true as a premise and converting it, molding it and shaping it to coincide with their wagering beliefs, hopes, desires or whatever one wants to label it.

Another term for what they are offering to match their extreme (LOL) knowledge and decades of baccarat play that they mold along with their highly educated backgrounds (again, LOL) is a simple two words, Deductive Reasoning. 

Deductive Reasoning implies that if all of the premises are true and if the influences are valid, it will follow.  SIMPLE!  Hence, the conclusion must be true.  The conclusion can be anything the author/poster wants it to be.  The group of 3 after the XYZ event presents itself in the third column of seven total columns, etc., etc.  Or something along the lines as, every 3rd or 4th or 5th B or P will cut to the opposite side more times than it does not. 

All proofs and arguments are finite.
If they were not, the conclusion could never have been reached.  Think about it.  Everyone relies on premises and those premises, forming the basis for the argument are unproven.  They are only proven in the mind and vision of the person testing, explaining and claiming fame to the way that sustains themselves in guaranteed wins or at least grinding out a solid winning amount most every time if not every time they sit down and play. 

You could create a proof of those premises, but that new proof would in turn itself rely on unproven premises, no?  Yes, it would!  The problem is inescapable.  But of course, the master of baccarat or any table game for that matter, be it systems salespeople/authors, those people desiring to control and rule the gambling forums, or those offering their tutorial and educational services.  Ultimate, all deductive reasoning depends on premises that are not deductively proven. 

The arguments often also rely on auxiliary premises that are not explicitly present.
They are simply background assumptions, fallacies or events made up by those in retaliatory mode against anyone that claims their info/date is flawed or might not work. 

Those claiming the fame as I outlined above, will only outline the events or presentments when such continues.  But the whole flip-flop and downside is, the black hole of never knowing when those presentments and events will surface and how long they will stay. 

Models are nice because they are finite.  Simple.  A model is tangible in so many words.  And yes, that model might have worked, but still, there is no way to define how large and how long anyone needs to sustain himself at a gaming table until that model kicks in and hopefully performs in the same length, shape and longevity as it did on the model that was discovered by its author, etc.  And more times than not, if not all, there will be periods of thousands and thousands of hands presented until those models do present themselves for an unknown and in no way guaranteed length of stay, let alone arrival. 
#1079
Helping to Define Presentments, Models & Bet Selection Wagering, PART 1

How do you do what is correct today, like right now at the table? Talking about it and having others review it, a few will always find something wrong with what you said.  And those types will go to great lengths in the attempt to prove their findings.  Then they post, demean, humiliate and have a tiny consensus of their peers that join them.  But the bottom line is, that they are living in a fallacy world of portraying that they play the necessary hours and amounts of shoes to equal the 51% Plus outcome and thus, they win each and every time.  Complete and utter nonsense to the max!   

Always a group of presentments will come around but subsequently, believing such is the way to win at baccarat, you are only preparing the depth of the hole to bury yourself.
  That group of wins that has a percentage of somewhere from 51 to 60% or even greater, on all the testing and results of mathematical models, will eventually come around.  But the waiting time for any such event will eat up far more profits than you will make.  But hey, certainly makes great worthless and senseless ammunition in the forum gambling board war of the full-time posters.

The times that those events do not come around, as well as the times your event just immediately fizzles out early, will eat those wagers up.  Problem is, you are narrowing your vision, your consciousness and losing out of numerous chances and the ability to capitalize on presentments that everyone just responds with that all too familiar 'WOW' over.  To me, that is the only way to explain the solid, powerful, consistent and repetitive patterns/trends/events being produced form the shoe with virtually very few if any people wagering with the shoe.  They are nearly all hooked on the cut to the opposite last win or wagering on that event they found will register 51% Plus on thousands or tens of thousands of shoes. 

Be it:  XOXOXOXOXOXOXOXO  or maybe; XXOOXXOOXXOOXXOOXXOO or maybe; XXXXXXXXXOXXXXXXX or maybe; XOOOXXOOXXXO or that every Natural win cuts to the opposite side or that every third card draw adds up to an 8 or a 9 total to one side only and reduces the other for like 7 or 8 or 10 consecutive hands.  And many many more, too numerous to list.

Sure, you can engage and believe the gambling forum full time posters with their long drawn out dialog of samples that are proven by computer testing will put you on easy money street.  But in reality, taking those same groups of events to the baccarat table, will prove a loss to yourself.  Because you will do just as I said in the above info.  You will have loss far more than you will ever win.  Of course, every author I have read posts and posts their theories claiming they grind it out and make a solid living from it, but without any proof except computer generated score cards, their altered test results and their complex definitions of how and why it all happened.  And those that say they win far more than they loss will never post a picture, never post a win-loss statement, never post their contact info, never get on the phone with another and numerous other traits of the same lines.  They are internet drama queens and bored out of their minds.  Fueled only by fallacy turned around and having a few in their small worthless group of followers.

There are ways to win at baccarat and it all has to do with mostly non-mechanical and non-mathematical knowledge.

Alrelax/Glen.
#1080
From the Washington Examiner 

Wednesday, August 28, 2019

Hillary Clinton, who escaped charges for mishandling top secret intel, says Trump would be indicted if he weren't president

by Becket Adams

If anyone knows anything about the powerful benefiting from protections from the law that regular people do not enjoy, it is two-time failed presidential candidate Hillary Clinton.

Lucky for us, she has some thoughts on the matter.

The former secretary of state was asked Tuesday at an event organized by Time magazine whether she believes the president committed an obstruction of justice offense in his attempts to interfere in the federal investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 presidential election.

Clinton responded by saying the special counsel's report shows there is enough there that any other person who engaged in those acts would have been indicted.

"But because of the rule in the Justice Department that you can't indict a sitting president, the whole matter of obstruction was very directly sent to the Congress," she said.

In other words, Trump is a free man only because we have different rules for different people in this country, according to Clinton.
"If you read that part of the report, it could not be clearer," she said of the special counsel's investigation. "We do have checks and balances in America and there is this thing called Congress. You could not be more explicit than, Please, look at this.' You may conclude it doesn't rise to an impeachable offense, that's your job, but I'm giving this to you.'

I will give her this: She is sticking to what she knows. If anyone knows anything about the two-tiered system of law in this country, it is her.

As secretary of state, Clinton maintained an unauthorized home brew server in a bathroom at her house in Chappaqua, N.Y. The server not only jeopardized national security secrets and other sensitive government intelligence, but it also allowed her to skirt normal record-keeping laws and regulations. Clinton and her team were able to delete and destroy thousands of messages later without having to turn them over to the regular federal officials as is required of all secretaries of state.


Yet despite engaging in behavior that would land any number of low or mid-level military personnel or federal contractors in prison for a very, very long time, Clinton faced no legal repercussions. Former FBI chief James Comey said that the bureau's investigation had found she was "extremely careless" in her handling of sensitive government intelligence. It probably helped that the attorney general at the time, Loretta Lynch, who refused to recuse herself from the investigation, specifically instructed the FBI not to charge Clinton with gross negligence, which was the only real charge considered against the secretary of state.

Clinton is not even wrong in her assessment about Trump avoiding obstruction charges. She has a point!

But let that point come from someone who has not rather famously benefited from an unequal application of the law. Clinton grousing about Trump in this matter would be like Henry Kissinger coming out as a strong critic of the architects of the Iraq War.

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/hillary-clinton-who-escaped-charges-for-mishandling-top-secret-intel-says-trump-would-be-indicted-if-he-werent-president