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Messages - Sputnik

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61
AsymBacGuy / Re: Baccarat unbeatable plan #1
« on: September 27, 2018, 04:56:46 pm »
Let me put it like this, how would you wagering your money ...
For example multiple levels:


1 2

1 3

2 4

2 6

3 6

3 9

4 8

4 12

5 10

5 15

7 14

7 21

9 18

9 27

12 24

12 36

15 30

15 45

Soxfan always talks about big bankroll and all in ...

62
AsymBacGuy / Re: Baccarat unbeatable plan #1
« on: September 27, 2018, 03:11:48 pm »

AsumBacGuy I want to say thank you for a nice topic.
Wondering if you could give a concrete example of the staking plan.

There are so many variations!

Cheers

63
General Discussion / Re: Regarding Beatthecasino.
« on: September 24, 2018, 02:55:28 pm »
Glen,for your information, BTC does not sell or endorse systems. It is just a forum where players can chat about baccarat. Novices have access to professional players who enjoy helping new players. Like any business, the owner Keith is entitled to charge a fee for membership. He must be doing something right if 42% of his members are paying members.
There are several professional players there that play for a living.
I think it's time your members stop bashing BTC and call it what it really is, "a great Baccarat forum where you can learn from professional players".

Problem is that some members have been around for several years and still can not flat betting and win that way, for example Brad.
That is 600 Euro a year community and you don't learn from others than just your common average methods.

My opinion

64
Math & Statistics / Re: 3 different dozens within 3 spins
« on: September 16, 2018, 04:22:38 pm »

There is a nice selection process betting both repeats and tripel.
I will see if I find the topic, is a classic old school system that can be to some inspiration to develop further.

Cheers

65
Roulette Forum / Re: Use Math/Statistics to beat Roulette/Baccarat Part 2.
« on: September 06, 2018, 01:19:52 pm »

Nick, I send you a personal message!

Cheers

66
Here is Holloway's progression, raise, and fall ...

1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
4
4
5
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
14
16
18
20
22
25
28
30
32
35
40
45
50
55
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
135
150

67
 Hello Nickmsi - I will put together one explanation about this selection based upon my opinion and understanding.


What you do is to play against patterns not repeat and the probability or the odds increase for each losing group.
For example, you have Red and play Black twice, the triplet and continue doing so on a rolling basis.

So each random march will end with a losing sequence and that combination is the principal of 1/3 because you bet against triplets.
So when you look at two loses you have one series of three and if you lose again you have another series of three and if you lose again you have a series of three.
They can come in any combination, and the march is to bet twice against triplets.

When you look at the sequence with the vertical perspective you see three patterns of the same formation repeating three times in a row.
And when you look at the sequence with the horizontal perspective you see the triplet that made you lose.

RRB
RRB
RRB

RBR
RBR
RBR

RBB
RBB
RBB

RRR
RRR
RRR

BRB
BRB
BRB

BBR
BBR
BBR

BRR
BRR
BRR

BBB
BBB
BBB

Now two patterns XOO XOX create a direct win and one pattern is a tie OOX and one losing pattern, the triplet XXX
If you continue betting after six loses the probability and the odds increase to 1 in 16 where you get groups of four or patterns with four in a row repeating three times in a row.


RBBR
RBBR
RBBR

And so it continues to grow with equilibrium and probability and odds for each new triplet.
I would say that you should stop after six losses and wait for a fictive win and start over.
The odds and probability is very small to get three repeaters back to back.

Here is also the possibility to experiment with triggers.

Cheers

68

Hello Ozon - Holloway made a progression for bets that have higher strike ratio than 50% for even money bets.


Cheers

69
General Discussion / Re: The way to beat the ECs
« on: July 29, 2018, 10:33:51 am »

moglizy I believe that you can flat betting and you find a method.
But I had difficult to understand your method.

Cheers

70

I just agree with everything you wrote.

Cheers

71

Nice video!

Quote
(I should have bet again as the next number was also odd) but I lost my nerve!

Assume you would push and press for more up as you win and in the same time regress, then maybe you would not lose your nerve.
For example, betting 1 unit, then on a winning push to 2 units. Next, you bet 1.5 unit and pocket 1.5 unit and assume you win you bet 3 units.
Assume you win again, then you have 4.5 units in front of you and pocket 2 units and place 2.5 units next.
As you can see after each double win you pocket some winnings without risking your own money to push and press for more.
This I see on youtube with a craps video betting the field and the positive progression solutions come from the famous Dice Doctor.

Cheers

72
General Discussion / Re: Bias emerge and strike!
« on: July 23, 2018, 03:28:24 pm »
Quote
Bias, to me is seeing it as it is happening, not wagering for it.  As it happens, just say I was flat betting a few hands.  It started.  I won 3 hands straight and I now see the bias, whatever it might be.  The correction, the abnormality, the curve, the rarity, whatever it is--does not matter one bit.  (That is where so many, most all, players go wrong.  They are trying to define and figure it out.) 

We are different gamblers, for example, Gizmo talks about his global effect and I talk about my methodology.
You mention sides bets and parlays that is a different approach.

I am referring to Sputnik's March and don't play hide and seek games with anyone.
After proving that two events out of three can strike several times in a row and create a true bias I got 6K views and very little replies.

Quote
So I won the 3 hands flat betting.  Say I was at $150.00 a hand as an example.  I am up $450.00 for that section.  I will take the $450.00 and split it into 4 units of $110.00 each and use those 4 wagers of $110.00 for my (1 + 4 Side Parlay) wagering for the striking attempts.  One successful (1 + 4 Side Parlay) will get me $3,520.00 if I am not mistaking.  Yes, some of the wagers will have to be sacrificed, some flat bets and possibly one or more of the (1 + 4 Side Parlay) attempts.  Progression and a continuance (1 + 4 Side Parlay) is a lot to ask to come out of.  But when something is hitting, don't be scared, scared to win-scared to wager, IMO is the worst thing a player can subscribe to.


I read this several times and still don't get it.
Why and how does someone make side bets and play both sides at the same time?
If I understand you correctly and not misunderstand your way to play the game.

Quote
But as far as a striking, that is something along the lines as to what I would do.  Rather than a planned attack.  Planned attacks to me are extremely difficult and usually do not work out.


I consider my way so clever and advance that I considering apply them into Trading and Sportbetting with a combination of trading techniques and value betting.

73
General Discussion / Bias emerge and strike!
« on: July 23, 2018, 01:27:39 pm »
Yesterday in the casino I test my new twist to catch strikes spotting bias sequences.
I was using Regression Up & Pull and got a quick 20% return on investment and quit.

Getting away flat betting riding strikes alone, but I want out more when I strike 5,6,8 times in a row.
Not satisfied with the known positive progressions, so if you know a variant that is not listed, plz let me know.

1) Regression Up & Pull
2) Win two flat betting and increase one-half unit - up as you win
3) Paroli
4) 1326
5) Guetting

Now I look at some craps videos on youtube and the Dice Doctor has a nice positive progression with a twist.
First, you bet 1 unit and if you win you increase and bet 2 units.
Assume you win both bets and are up 3, then you staking 1,5 next if a win you bet 3 and that sum up to 4,5.
Then next you bet 2,5 and if you win 5 then you have 7,5 and place 4 next.
Push for more at the same time as you regress, very clever.

Cheers


74

Yes, I understand, assume someone knows how to flat betting. then there will still be variance and fluctuation, even when Caleb play a biased wheel that has a defect he and his team will face variance and fluctuation, that is part of the game.
He might use Kelly Staking Plan to optimal he's game having a positive expectation.
Then what is the difference if someone increases a smooth conservative staking plan playing EC if he also takes advantage out of bias sequences that last for very long periods with occasional drawdowns.

There are more examples, take sports betting where you have "value betting" to determine if a bet will win or lose.
Where one player won 16 months using a smooth staking plan.
I assume he triple his money during that period of time.

We all know everything loses in the long run, but for example, 16 months of action is part of the short run.
And I reckon he was satisfied even if he's staking plan finally tank.

The debate is not about using or not using a staking plan, is about tackle variance and fluctuation even when you know how to spot bias.
That is my opinion.

75
The following is an old post of mine as to my opinion as to how to beat the casino......there are probably other methods, but this is one I prefer


"Follow these 6 steps and you have a good long term chance  of beating the casino at any game,...... dice, baccarat, sicbo etc


1. Select a bet size where by your bankroll will not run up against the table maximum when you use your money management methodology to recover from a drawdown.

2. Use a very conservative money management methodology where you can recover a significant drawdown without hitting the table maximum......for instance, play at
a $ 15 dollar minimum table and use a money management methodology  such as
111111111111111 22222222 etc etc ....where you bet 1 unit, and if on any series of bets you are down 15 units, then bet 2 units until you are ahead 1 unit and then go back to betting 1 unit...there are of course many other methods you can use......but they must all be conservative.

3 Ensure that your bankroll can withstand a 100 unit drawdown flat betting

In the above example, your bankroll should be at least  $ 1,500
 ( $ 15 bet size x 100 unit worst case drawdown = $ 1,500 )

4. Make sure that your bankroll is in real dollars, not some wet dream,  and place the bankroll and all the accumulated future profits and losses in a separate place,,,,,,,,,such as a small portable safe.......walmart sells one for about $ 30.

5. Keep a spreadsheet of your beginning bankroll and all future profits and losses

6. You must have patience to follow your money management plan and not go on "tilt" like poker players who are on a losing streak.

Size your bets using your money management methodology so that you can eventually make up your drawdown even if it takes 3,4 or 5 sessions of betting.

Number 6 above, patience, is probably the most important......trying to make up a drawdown by raising your bets too large and too fast and neglecting your money management, methodology will probably ruin any chance or achieving profitability.

Also, if you are using a progression betting system ( like a labby, reverse labby, upside down labby, conservative martingale etc etc) , all the above gets much more complicated since you can easily lose 10 to 20 units in a bad shoe...and you will have numerous bad shoes.

Using a betting methodology where you can lose 10 to 20 units on a  bad baccarat shoe requires a much more intense analysis of bet size and money management methodology versus flat betting.........and a very, very large bankroll.

The higher the risk, the higher the bankroll required.

So that's how you beat the casino...and maybe 1 out of 10,000 customers in a casino will follow all 6 steps."

Can you be more exact on what kind of progression you apply?
I have been testing Holloways Progression and considering memorize it.
As with my test, there is always a reversal playing bias tables.

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