Total hands: 56,746

Player wins (P): 28,038

Banker wins (B): 28,708

Raw Player WR: 49.41%

This is computer generated Player and Banker bets wins (Ties removed) useful for testing and simulation.
Player wins (P): 154,176

Banker wins (B): 157,824

Total hands: 312,000

📈 Percentages

Player: 49.42%

Banker: 50.58%

Hi albalaha--good to see you posting again. A very interesting study across many hands. I will respond more later as I have not read all of this yet.

Q: Do you mostly play online or at live bac tables?
If mostly online are the hands dealt via live feed dealt from a live in-casino shoe?

alrelax in the post above:

"..1). ONE HAS TO ADDRESS THE "Quit when your ahead". True, but a real double edged sword to the maximum! You will stop your potential win if you automatically do, simple. In baccarat you must win and win well when you are winning..."

     My preference is to always quit when ahead. Versus the alternative: quit when behind.

"...In baccarat you must win and win well..."

     The last part is the secret sauce. In other words:
"Its not about how fast you win, its about how well you win fast."

It is my opinion one must use some form of compounding (intra pattern streaks, shoes, sessions, trips), as we will see comparable W streaks vs L streaks. Utilize a cutoff for L streaks and do not chicken out when Variance is matching our bet selection/compounding regime is swamping the inevitable L runs.


Continued Success To All,



                                     

I've always pondered why Fortune Tellers and Psychics didn't just go to the Baccarat tables and win the 200:1 bonus bet. Maybe do the Lottery for a $1 every time it exceeded a million.,...etc. No reason to waste time reading palms, tarrot cards,...etc for a small fee.


https://www.casino.org/news/star-casino-let-fortune-teller-gamble-800k-despite-400-income/

alrelax in OP:

"...Well, have not been for several weeks."

     Good to see you are playing again.

"...ith a 3 Card 9.

2Ps shown side by side on the Bead Plate (the top road).

Not shown.  Another P8, the 3rd one and it too was adjacent side by side to the other 2 shown.  Few hands later was the 3rd Fortune 7. 2 hands later was beautiful 3 Card 9-9 tie for a 75:1 pay out.  The very next hand was a 2 card 7-7 tie fir a 50:1 payout.

Finished session/trip around hand 50.   ..."


     Good play-by-play/liked the photos. Hopefully you quit when you were ahead.


Cheers,

Hopefully our lawmakers will address this issue.


https://www.breitbart.com/sports/2025/12/12/trump-to-mull-ending-tax-on-sports-gambling-wins/

Hi Asym.
Good to see the forum is turned back on/great to see you posting again.
 
*I assumed you had been on a lengthy Bac trek before the forum shut down 2-3 weeks ago.
I kept getting a message similar to: Site no longer available, database error, or only seeing the (search topic) page,...etc.

Back to your post.

I like your statement:

"... C) second AS step

Once the first step loses, the second AS attempt will intervene.
Again, long streaks of winning or losing streaks are slight less likely to happen, mainly as 2/2 and 3+/3+ streaks cannot be "clustered/clustered" for long.."

     I find it helpful to view every shoe(& thus every pattern) from a perspective: What is the expected average and how far has this current shoe deviated(- or +). I view a shoe as a combination of patterns that are always trying to approach their respective expectations(& limits).

More later,

If you'd think that results are somewhat dependent (the decisive factor why we should win at this game itlr), you need to let go a lot of hands without any betting as most of the hands dealt are decided by a chance variable.

For example let's consider the AS/S nature of the outcomes, first by a cumulative (two-step) probability then by distinct steps (first step and second step).
Put those outcomes into three different lines (A=cumulative, B=first step, C=second step) and you'll get more precise situations to start (or not) the betting after having ascertained how long the streaks (or singled patterns) will show up on average and by which level of consecutiveness.

A) cumulative AS/S patterns

We already know that S isolated patterns are the best patterns to look for; once they came out clustered (S-S), we  stop the betting now priviliging the AS clustered patterns.
The same about AS clusters (AS-AS) as opposed to isolated AS events (AS-S).
In fact there's a strong balance between isolated S vs S clusters and/or AS clusters vs isolated AS.

That means that if you want to get a substantial edge over the house, waiting for a moderate/strong imbalancement of S clusters vs S isolated events and/or AS isolated events vs AS clusters will do the job.
That's not a typical example of gamblers's fallacy as cards are more distributed to get asymmetrical results than symmetrical ones, especially if we take care of the infinite random walks originating from the BP original sequence.

B) first AS step

No matter the random walk utilized, long streaks of first AS attempts are quite rare to happen, say that most of the times winning streaks are stopping at 2 or 3 steps. That doesn't mean that after 2 or 3 winning steps we should bet towards S patterns (so switching the trigger), simply that we are not interested to bet anymore.
On the other end, losing first AS attempts will more likely stop after 2 or 3 consecutive situations, meaning that first attempts are not getting long winning streaks so often.

C) second AS step

Once the first step loses, the second AS attempt will intervene.
Again, long streaks of winning or losing streaks are slight less likely to happen, mainly as 2/2 and 3+/3+ streaks cannot be "clustered/clustered" for long and for distinct portions of the shoe without being intertwined by all other patterns.

See you in a couple of days

as.