« on: October 18, 2017, 07:22:29 am »
Here is something to look at during your next bac shoe, if you have a slow dealer and have time to write down some extra info on your scorecard.
This is not a "system" ....but just an observation which may or may not have any value.
Basically you track three different situations :
1. If you win or lose a bet by a natural ( you bet Player and Player loses to a natural Banker 8 or 9...or vice versa...you bet Player and win with a Player natural 8 or 9 )
2. You win or lose on a draw ( you bet Player and Player has a ten and a 7 on the first two cards for a total of 7 and Banker has 2 tens for a total of zero and Banker draws an 8 and you lose......or you bet on Player and Banker has a 10 and a 2 on first 2 cards for a total of 2 and Player has 2 and a 3 for a total of 5. Player draws a 6 for a total of 1 and Banker draws an 8 for a total of zero and you win.
3. The third situation is to see who was ahead after the first four cards are dealt.....for example, Player has a 2 and a 4 on the first two cards for a total of 6 and Banker has a 2 and an ace on the first two cards for a total of 3. Player is ahead 4 to 3 .
Or on the first four cards Player has a two aces for a total of 2 and Banker has a 2 and a 3 for a total of 5 so Banker is ahead 5 to 2.
Now make 6 columns on your score card......the first set of 3 columns are for bets that you lose. The columns can be titled....Natural, Draw and First 4. So if you lose a bet to a natural, you put a mark in red the Natural column. If lose a bet to a draw, you put a red mark in the Draw column. If you lose a bet because you were behind on the first 4 cards, you put a red mark in red the First 4 column.
Now do the same for the next set of 3 columns and now instead make a black mark if you win the bet.
If you win a bet with a natural, make a mark in black in the Natural column. If you win a bet on a draw, make a black mark in the Draw column. If you win a bet and are ahead after the first 4 cards are dealt, make a black mark in the First 4 column.
I can almost guarantee you that if you are on one of those 6 or 7 losing bets in a row situations, or are caught in a "shoe from hell" where you can't seem to win a bet, the first set of three columns in red will have many red marks in them.
Like wise, if you are on a good shoe and winning, the second set of 3 columns will have a lot of black marks in them.
The reason you track the first 4 cards in the First 4 column is because whoever is ahead on the first 4 cards will win the hand 80 % or 95 % of the time, depending on the shoe.....for the simple reason the other side has to "catch up" to the side that is ahead.
As I said, this is not a betting system.......but if you start to see a lot of red marks, you will probably be in for a very bad shoe.
And this may be a good starting point if someone has the time to look into this further and develop some kind of betting strategy.