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1
Bally's Blog / Re: Bricklayers' Wall meets VDW AP
« on: May 23, 2019, 10:51:45 pm »
  Thanx for the update.  Below is an old post of yours ....could you give and example of how you determined the W or L for 2nd's and 3rd's......seems like all the numbers were black.


"would like to share the idea of 2nd's + 3rd's here.
 
There is an Excel sheet at the bottom with an example using Black/Red and Low/High.
 
I will use the Black numbers in the sheet to give an example....
 
What I am tracking for is to see if a Black number goes to 2 hits and then goes on to 3 hits.
 
33
26
26
31
33
8
 
There are 6 consecutive black numbers there and so I put a W for both the 2nd's and the 3rd's.
 
The next black numbers....
 
29
13

Now there are only 2 black numbers there. So I put a W in the 2nd's and an L in the 3rd's.
 
Next up...
 
8
 
Only 1 black number there. So an L goes in the 2nd's and I can't put anything in the 3rd's.
 
Next up...
 
29
24
 
2 black numbers. So a W in the 2nd's and an L in the 3rd's.
 
What I am playing close attention at is the W's and L's in the 2nd's + 3rd's.
 
It's possible to get a run of L's in the 2nd's.....BUT.....a run of W's in the 3rd's. This would happen if you got runs of just either 1 black and runs of 3+ blacks.
 
Charting all three E.C's (Black/Red, Low/High, Odd/Even) is the way to go.
 
A tracker would do the job OR you could just skip a spin or two in a B+M casino to give you time to track everything.
 
Of course....you could track 2nd's, 3rd's + 4th's and even use this idea for dozens and columns.
 
It is just another way to look for betting the W's OR L's depending on what's happening in the 2nd's and 3rd's."
 
cheers.

2
Bally's Blog / Re: Bricklayers' Wall meets VDW AP
« on: May 23, 2019, 01:24:57 am »
If I understand this correctly and you make it to the top row of 4  4   8 and you lose all 3 bets, you will lose 16 units which can wipe out all your previous profits.

3
Bally's Blog / Re: Bricklayers' Wall meets VDW AP
« on: May 22, 2019, 10:15:59 pm »
Can you post option 2 and option 3 as the author described?  ...unfortunately the book is out of print.

4
Real-World Casino Action / Re: Don't criticize.
« on: May 16, 2019, 04:22:41 am »
Isn't the odds of picking one ball out of 128 balls   127 to 1 instead of 128 to 1 ?

5
General Discussion / Re: Who says you can't beat the horses?
« on: May 13, 2019, 01:57:07 am »

Here is another gambler who has won millions....... and probably no one has ever heard of :


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zeljko_Ranogajec

6
Baccarat Forum / Re: "Stadium" baccarat in casino...computer driven
« on: May 12, 2019, 04:28:22 pm »
1.If the game is rigged, why are they rigging it just against you ?.....were there any other customers playing at the same time you were playing...............and if there were, and they were betting more than you, why didn't they rig the game against them and not you since they were betting more than you?

2. Next time you go to that casino, stand next to the dealer for a few minutes and see if they are dealing the card out of the shoe correctly...to rig the game, the shuffle machine has to be connected to a wi-fi to all the betting terminals to see who is betting the net amount  on Banker or Player and then select the correct card out of the shoe to ensure that the casino wins......for example if the total bet on Player is $ 1500 and the total bet on banker is $4000, the shuffle machine will ensure that the Banker loses the hand so the casino wins the difference of $ 2500

3. If this is a Non Tribal casino, they can lose their State Gaming License if they are caught so it doesn't make too much sense to cheat when they can win their 1.3% advantage anyway at baccarat in the long run. 

But if it is a small Tribal ( Indian) casino, then there may be more chance of something illegal happening........but the only way to cheat is for the manufacturer of the shuffle machine  to actually code software which is running the shuffler to communicate with the betting terminals and then write code to somehow change the order of the cards in the shoe so that the card needed to win for the casino is selected......and then if caught,  the manufacturer would find itself liable for civil and criminal lawsuits in  addition to going bankrupt....and the manufacturer would have to be getting a cut of the illegal profits since they would not write the code for free.......so it all seems pretty unlikely.

4.In spite of what you read on this or other forums about high $$$$ winnings and high percentage winning bets,  in the game of baccarat, losses of 7,8,9,10 or 12 hands in a row ( in the same shoe or 2 consecutive shoes ) unfortunately occur periodically...and if someone disagrees with this, they are delusional and should immediately seek out a mental health professional.

8
Baccarat Forum / Re: i found a website for prediction.
« on: May 08, 2019, 09:33:59 pm »
Watch out for a virus.

9
Baccarat Forum / Re: STAR PROGRESSION
« on: April 20, 2019, 11:08:49 pm »
On page 30 it states you need a total bankroll of 200 times your base bet...........so if you are betting only a small base bet of $ 25 in baccarat, you will need a total bankroll of 200 x $ 25 -= $ 5,000.

If your base baccarat bet is $ 100, you will need a total bankroll of $ 20,000.

Looks like you will need a lot of $$$$$$$ to play the method if you play baccarat...........

Method might be good if you play roulette online where you can use a $ 1 base bet and use a total bankroll of  only $ 200.

10
Money Management / Re: Oscar's Grind Test....+50/-20.
« on: March 27, 2019, 12:56:16 pm »
"Starting with a $5 unit on the DP and no odds, the run ended +15K, or 3,000 units after 55K rolls.  Highest bet was 460 units, or $2,300 "

That's the problem with a lot of these martingale/progression  etc etc etc etc systems......       .you eventually are faced with a really bad run of losing bets and you have to bet $ 2000 or $ 2300 etc etc to win $5 or $ 10..........which is still basically a 50-50 coin flip to bet $ 2300 in order to win $ 5



11
Money Management / Re: Oscar's Grind Test....+50/-20.
« on: March 26, 2019, 11:06:56 pm »
From what I heard from some Vegas old timers was that Oscar was a real person named Oscar and used the method playing Pass or Don't Pass at craps in the early 1970's or thereabouts.

Supposedly he did fairly well with the method....maybe he changed some of the rules to limit his losses.........but no one knows for sure.



 

12
General Discussion / Re: Forex scalping
« on: January 08, 2019, 04:45:23 am »
You have a better chance of getting hit by a comet than making money trading the Forex...….just my humble opinion.

13
Sports Betting Forum / Re: NFL betting results this year
« on: January 01, 2019, 03:59:19 pm »
Any independent documentation available?

14
Too bad you can't use this in a brick and mortar casino......in Vegas, if are caught using a computing device, it's 5 years in jail and a big $ fine.

15
The only game a casino can pre-arrange a shoe so that the casino wins is Blackjack, but only if there is only one customer playing by himself.

All the casino has to do is arrange the shuffle so that the dealer usually gets a 10 up card and the customer usually gets a stiff of 13, 14 15 or 16 most of the time and draws a bust card.....or the casino can set the shuffle so that the dealer gets a 19 or 20 most of the time.
 
But if another customer sits down at the table, then  obviously the pre-arranged shoe becomes useless since the new customer ( or customers ) will destroy the sequence of the  pre-arranged  cards in the shoe.

And has been said before , no large casino will take a chance doing this since they have the advantage in every game anyway...so why risk a very large fine or loss of the gambling license ?

Also, casinos now mostly pay 6 to 5 on a customer blackjack instead of 3 to 2, and of course the unintelligent customers still play the game.

Also, a large casino in Vegas now has a thrird "green" number 000  on the roulette board in addition to the 0  and the 00...which increases the casino advantge to around 8% ....which is the same as a slot machine.....and of course customers will still play the game.......so why should the casino cheat ?




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