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General Discussion / Re: Forex scalping
« on: January 08, 2019, 04:45:23 am »
You have a better chance of getting hit by a comet than making money trading the Forex...….just my humble opinion.

Sports Betting Forum / Re: NFL betting results this year
« on: January 01, 2019, 03:59:19 pm »
Any independent documentation available?

Too bad you can't use this in a brick and mortar Vegas, if are caught using a computing device, it's 5 years in jail and a big $ fine.

The only game a casino can pre-arrange a shoe so that the casino wins is Blackjack, but only if there is only one customer playing by himself.

All the casino has to do is arrange the shuffle so that the dealer usually gets a 10 up card and the customer usually gets a stiff of 13, 14 15 or 16 most of the time and draws a bust card.....or the casino can set the shuffle so that the dealer gets a 19 or 20 most of the time.
But if another customer sits down at the table, then  obviously the pre-arranged shoe becomes useless since the new customer ( or customers ) will destroy the sequence of the  pre-arranged  cards in the shoe.

And has been said before , no large casino will take a chance doing this since they have the advantage in every game why risk a very large fine or loss of the gambling license ?

Also, casinos now mostly pay 6 to 5 on a customer blackjack instead of 3 to 2, and of course the unintelligent customers still play the game.

Also, a large casino in Vegas now has a thrird "green" number 000  on the roulette board in addition to the 0  and the 00...which increases the casino advantge to around 8% ....which is the same as a slot machine.....and of course customers will still play the why should the casino cheat ?

Vic's Ideas / Re: In favor of the single number
« on: November 13, 2018, 12:36:59 pm »
Thanx...I'll check it out over a few real spins I have.

This may better if you use the new Fusion ( also called Stadium ) roulette …....where  a real dealer in a brick and mortar casino spins a real ball in a real roulette wheel every 35 seconds and you can place your bets at a terminal...…..also they have real Fusion baccarat and blackjack dealers.

They have Fusion at the Sands casino in Bethlehem Pennsylvania and in Connecticut and at the Venetian in Las Vegas.

Here is a link for the Sands in Pennsylvania

They have 100 terminals....and they are real dealers....not an RNG, and the computer calculates the payouts in 1 or 2 seconds.

Since the dealer spins every 35 seconds with Fusion. they may get into a routine where certain sectors will hit more than others....whereas in a regular casino, the dealer takes 3 to 5 minutes the clear the board and compute the payouts.

Fusion is bad for the dealers since almost no one tips the dealer and the casino can eliminate dealers since one dealer can spin for 100 customers in 35 seconds......which means more $$$$$ for the casino.

Vic's Ideas / Re: In favor of the single number
« on: November 12, 2018, 10:43:24 pm »
What do you mean by "three line matrix " ?

Well if you ever start a tout service, I'm sure you will have a GOLD monthly subscription for $ 1000 a month, a SILVER monthly subscription for $ 2,000 a month and a PLATINUM monthly subscription for $ 5,000 a month for the "serious" PM if you do start a service and I will send you a cashiers check for the $ 5,000 PLATINUM service so I can start hitting those  79 %  winners.

But I am very happy that you have said that you are selling NOTHING!

Here is some interesting reading for forum members who may not be familiar with tout services.

Well if you are hitting 79% winners in the NFL, you have done something no one has ever has done in history....where you are really, really lucky to hit 53% or 54%

Your wouldn't by any chance running a tout service ?

Forex Forum / Re: Borrowed money in forex.
« on: October 08, 2018, 10:45:51 pm »
In my humble, non-professional opinion, you have a better chance of getting a foot massage from the Queen of England than you have of making money trading the Forex.

In Vegas , the National Football League is called the National Coin Flip League by sports bettors because if you try to handicap an NFL game, you might as well flip a coin to decide which side to bet on.

The line is too accurate and there are only 16 games a season so there is not a long series of games to get a handicapping handle on a team. 

Basically it is impossible to beat the NFL long term.

If you bet on sports, it's best to bet mostly underdogs since you have 2 ways to win.....     , 1. if the underdog loses but covers the spread and 2, if the underdog wins outright.

The favorite must  1. win outright and 2. cover the spread...... which is 2 ways to lose.

Also you should occassionaly bet the money line where you don't have to worry about beating a point spread, such as baseball which is a money line wager......... except for betting total runs scored in a baseball game where you have to bet the totals line such as betting wether totals run scored will be over or under 8 runs.

Like all other gambling propositions, or starting your own business such as a restaurant, retail store etc need a very, very, very big bankroll to withstand the inevitable downturns and losses.

Wannawin's Library / Re: Power Matrix Roulette System pdf
« on: September 16, 2018, 03:47:22 pm »
Asking for a credit card is definitely a red flag which says..............stay away..............looks like another caveat emptor.

1. "In the long run, we are all dead"   John Maynard Keynes

2. If you think that everything "evens out" in the long run, if you flip a coin 10,000 times,  I will bet anyone that it will not end up 5,000 heads and 5,000 tails.

The following is an old post of mine as to my opinion as to how to beat the casino......there are probably other methods, but this is one I prefer

"Follow these 6 steps and you have a good long term chance  of beating the casino at any game,...... dice, baccarat, sicbo etc

1. Select a bet size where by your bankroll will not run up against the table maximum when you use your money management methodology to recover from a drawdown.

2. Use a very conservative money management methodology where you can recover a significant drawdown without hitting the table maximum......for instance, play at
a $ 15 dollar minimum table and use a money management methodology  such as
111111111111111 22222222 etc etc ....where you bet 1 unit, and if on any series of bets you are down 15 units, then bet 2 units until you are ahead 1 unit and then go back to betting 1 unit...there are of course many other methods you can use......but they must all be conservative.

3 Ensure that your bankroll can withstand a 100 unit drawdown flat betting

In the above example, your bankroll should be at least  $ 1,500
 ( $ 15 bet size x 100 unit worst case drawdown = $ 1,500 )

4. Make sure that your bankroll is in real dollars, not some wet dream,  and place the bankroll and all the accumulated future profits and losses in a separate place,,,,,,,,,such as a small portable sells one for about $ 30.

5. Keep a spreadsheet of your beginning bankroll and all future profits and losses

6. You must have patience to follow your money management plan and not go on "tilt" like poker players who are on a losing streak.

Size your bets using your money management methodology so that you can eventually make up your drawdown even if it takes 3,4 or 5 sessions of betting.

Number 6 above, patience, is probably the most important......trying to make up a drawdown by raising your bets too large and too fast and neglecting your money management, methodology will probably ruin any chance or achieving profitability.

Also, if you are using a progression betting system ( like a labby, reverse labby, upside down labby, conservative martingale etc etc) , all the above gets much more complicated since you can easily lose 10 to 20 units in a bad shoe...and you will have numerous bad shoes.

Using a betting methodology where you can lose 10 to 20 units on a  bad baccarat shoe requires a much more intense analysis of bet size and money management methodology versus flat betting.........and a very, very large bankroll.

The higher the risk, the higher the bankroll required.

So that's how you beat the casino...and maybe 1 out of 10,000 customers in a casino will follow all 6 steps."

As stated in previous posts, there are 416 cards in an 8 deck shoe ( 52 x 8 ) and the number of possible combinations those cards can create is 416 !       ( 416 factorial ) which is 416 x 415 x 414 x 413 x 412 x 411 x 410 x 409 x 408...........all the way down to 2 x 1.... and that number is so big that no human being can understand it.

No mechanical system can handle all those potential combinations.....                   
 and that is whyevery baccarat shoe is totally different from the last shoe.

Alrelax's Blog / Re: Scandals--Frauds--Criminals--Gangsters
« on: July 01, 2018, 06:17:03 pm »
I don't know about you but I am shocked, shocked that illegal activity is taking place in the casino business.

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